Jamshedpur FC vs ATK Mohun Bagan, Indian Super League 2024-2025, Today Match Prediction

Jamshedpur FC vs ATK Mohun Bagan Match Prediction & Analysis

Hosts Jamshedpur FC will take on Mohun Bagan in the first leg of Semi-Final 2 at the JRD Tata Sports Complex on Thursday at 7:30 p.m. IST. Mohun Bagan, the newly crowned ISL League Shield winners, have already outclassed Jamshedpur this season with a dominant 3-0 win and a 1-1 draw at the same venue. 

However, Jamshedpur might have the edge in match sharpness, having battled past NorthEast United 2-0 in a high-pressure knockout clash just days ago. In contrast, Mohun Bagan hasn’t played a competitive game since March 8, which could leave them a bit rusty. Will Jamshedpur’s momentum outshine Mohun Bagan’s dominance? Thursday night will have all the answers as the battle for the final heats up!

League Standings: Jamshedpur FC  finished the league stage in fifth with 38 points, while Mohun Bagan ended as league winners with 56  points losing only two matches. 

Head-to-head record: In their nine ISL encounters, Mohun Bagan boasts a win-loss record of five wins to their opponent's three, with two matches ending in a stalemate. 

TEAMS PREVIEW

Jamshedpur FC Preview

After their triumphant 2021-22 ISL League Winners' Shield run, Jamshedpur FC once again reached the semifinals, but their journey ended in heartbreak. This time, however, they had to take the longer road—battling through the Eliminator, where they overcame NorthEast United with a solid 2-0 victory. 

Though the road was rough, Jamshedpur FC defied the odds. Having lost twice to NorthEast United earlier in the season and riding a two-match losing streak, their 2-0 Eliminator win was a statement of resilience. But now, an even bigger challenge awaits—Bagan, a team they’ve never beaten in six attempts. If they are to rewrite history, they'll need that same unwavering spirit.

Khalid Jamil is likely to stick to the blueprint that worked against NorthEast—solid defense, patience, and striking when the moment is right. In the Eliminator, Jamshedpur saw just 30% possession, yet they allowed NorthEast only three shots on target. 

A key pillar of NorthEast’s success, Stephen Eze has been a rock at the back. In the knockout clash against the Highlanders, he delivered a defensive masterclass—11 clearances, 6 interceptions, and even a goal to his name. With his mix of defensive dominance and set-piece prowess, he could be the game-changer NorthEast needs against Bagan. Jamshedpur will be without Mobashir Rahman, who is suspended after his red card against NorthEast United. His absence, however, opens the door for Imran Khan to step back into midfield. 

Jamshedpur Probable XI -  Albino Gomes (GK); Stephen Eze, Pronay Halder, Ashutosh Mehta, Muhammad Uvais, Nikhil Barla, Rei Tachikawa, Sanan, Imran Khan, Javi Hernandez, Jordan Murray

ATK Mohun Bagan Preview

Mohun Bagan etched their name in history in the 2024/25 ISL season, becoming the first team to defend their ISL Shield twice. Dominating the league, they clinched the top spot with a commanding 56 points, reaffirming their legacy as one of Indian football’s greatest forces. In doing so they tallied 17 wins while losing only  2 games in the season. Interestingly, two of those losses came on the road. 

Jamshedpur are lethal from set-pieces, with 19 goals from dead-ball situations and five from throw-ins. Even in the Eliminator, they struck from a throw-in. Defending these threats will be crucial, especially keeping a close watch on Eze in the final third.

Jason Cummings has been Jose Molina’s tactical ace for Mohun Bagan in the 2024/25 season. A selfless team player, he has thrived in multiple roles, especially as a playmaker behind the No.9. With 10 goal contributions (four goals, six assists) in 22 ISL games, he now needs to step up and deliver in the playoffs. Unlike their counterparts, the Mariners have all their players fit and available. 

Mohun Bagan Probable XI -  Dheeraj Singh (GK); Asish Rai, Tom Aldred, Alberto Rodriguez, Tangri, Lalengmawia Ralte, Manvir Singh, Anirudh Thapa, Maclaren, Liston Colaco, Cummings

JAMSHEDPUR FC vs ATK MOHUN BAGAN
Winning Prediction

A high-stakes clash awaits as Jamshedpur hosts Mohun Bagan at the JRD Tata Sports Complex this Thursday. While their head-to-head record has been tight, recent form tilts in Bagan’s favor. They’ve dominated three of the last four meetings, netting three goals in each victory. From Jamshedpur’s perspective, the advantage is that they have had more game time than Bagan coming into this contest and the home advantage at the ‘Furnace,’ where they’ve been strong this season. However, Mohun Bagan’s experience in high-stakes games makes them the favorites.  ATK Mohun Bagan is tipped to win with the odds of 1.86 to Jamshedpur’s 3.60 and a draw at 3.85.

ATK Mohun Bagan to Win (0-1)

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