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CLAIM NOWCan Aston Villa end their away woes?
Aston Villa to Win (0-1)
Tournament: English Premier League 2024-25 | Venue: Goodison Park, Liverpool
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The Toffees struggled against Bournemouth at the Vitality and mounted pressure which led to the eventual sacking of Sean Dyche. Everton failed to muster a shot in 90 minutes with a laundry list of injuries causing concern within the squad. Dyche had only won 1 of his 11 Premier League games, which is why Everton are languishing at the very bottom and puts pressure on a team that has never been relegated from the Premier League. Jordan Pickford has been a standout player for Everton, but there is only so much he can do. His team in 2024, managed only 132 shots on target, with only 31 goals to show - the fewest in the division. The Friedkin group have read these numbers and have now made a commitment to turn things around by bringing in David Moyes to move the club forward.
Aston Villa won by the same scoreline first against Leicester in the Premier League, then against West Ham in the FA Cup. The midland club enjoyed sheer success after qualifying for the Champions League last season. But, this season they will have added loftier goals. Unai Emery suddenly has a host of clubs, never been made to compete with before for a Champions League spot. They include Forest, Bournemouth apart from the usual suspects. Vill are only 4 points off a Champions League spot and will be indebted to Chelsea for dropping valuable points.
Head to Head Record: Both teams have played each other 59 times. Everton has won 13 games, Aston Villa has won 26, with 20 draws being played out. The Toffees have scored 69 goals against Villa. The midlanders have scored 88 goals against the Merseyside team.
Current Standings : Everton are in 16th spot with 17 points, having played one game fewer. Aston Villa are in 8th with 32 points from 20 games.
Everton are in a dire position, something that the club has experienced for the past couple of seasons. The Toffees last season finished 15th (14 points clear of relegation and 51 points short of the champions). The Toffees are also winless in 11 fixtures in the competition against Villa - drawing 3 and losing 8. To add insult to injury, only the Saints have scored fewer goals and won fewer games than Everton.
Sean Dyche made an abysmal start to the season with this club, losing 4 in a row. But ever since they’ve only lost 4 of their last 15. The issue has been with winning games - with the Toffees drawing 8. Out of 15 goals, only 7 have come from open play - the only side to score fewer than 10 from open play in the league. David Moyes might have to turn to the window to buy some recognised striking options with his new team’s toothlessness in attack.
Player to watch out for
Although Everton and Calvert-Lewin are running out of gas and goals - the Englishman has made the most targeted off-the-ball runs in the league this season than any other player in the final-third (224). Unfortunately, Calvert-Lewin’s injuries have taken a massive toll on his playing ability and sent him straight into oblivion. Moyes’ only striker is without a goal in his last 15 appearances for the club. If Everton are to stay in the league, this issue will indeed have to be rectified.
Injury - McNeil, Calvert-Lewin, Coleman, Broja, Garner, Iroegbunam and Chermiti are out.
Everton probable XI - Pickford (GK), Mykolenko, Branthwaite, Tarkowski, Young, (DEF), Mangala, Gueye, Ndiye, Doucoure, Lindstrom (MID), Harrison (FWD).
Unai’s team are unbeaten in their last 5 Premier League away fixtures against the Merseyside club - winning 3 and drawing 2. Not just that, but because of a solid backline Aston Villa has also managed to keep a clean sheet in their last 3 games. But, Villa haven’t been at their best in away fixtures in the league. They’ve lost 5 away games against Newcastle, Liverpool, Spurs, Nottingham Forest and Chelsea. It can be argued that those teams carry potential.
This happens to be Villa’s longest run on the road without a win in a single campaign since 2015-16. A game against struggling Everton is a great opportunity for Emery to break the deadlock. Only 31.3% of their 32 points this season have come on the road - amounting to 10 points. Brentford with 18% are the only team to have fewer points than Villa on the road. Villa have Arsenal, Wolves, Brentford, Brighton and Southampton play away next - which ideally should allow them to build on their travel tally.
Player to watch out for
Youri Tielemans has been a standout player for Aston Villa this season. The Belgian’s striking abilities are second to none. But apart from that is his passing qualities. Apart from Cole Palmer (8) Youri Tielemans has made the most successful through balls in the Premier League. Within his own team, he has made the most successful passes (71), cementing himself as a mainstay in this talented squad.
Injury - Torres, Barkley, Carlos, Martinez, McGinn and Philogene are all out.
Aston Villa probable XI - Martinez (GK), Cash, Konsa, Mings, Digne (DEF), Kamara, Barkley, Bailey, Tielemans, McGinn (MID), Watkins (FWD).
A change of managers is usually said to uplift teams and add wins to the scorecard. David Moyes certainly knows how to do that. But, his opponent is a thorough winner himself. Aston Villa will be milking their opportunity to take something away from this broken Everton squad and ending their dismal away run. As usual, Jordan Pickford is the only player who can highlight Everton’s prowess, but that won’t be enough with Ollie Watkins’ striking abilities.
Aston Villa to Win (0-1)
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