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CLAIM NOWCan Chennaiyin Break Through Mumbai's Defense?
Mumbai City FC to Win (1-0)
Tournament: Indian Super League 2024-2025 | Venue: Mumbai Football Arena, Mumbai
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It's round two for Mumbai and Chennaiyin, as the two clubs face off for the second time this season, at a critical stage in the competition, with both teams aiming for nothing less than victory. Meanwhile, the clubs' last meeting resulted in a draw (1-1).
The visitors, having snapped a three-match losing streak with a hard-fought 1-0 win over Hyderabad, will breathe a sigh of relief as they gear up for this encounter. On the other hand, Mumbai, with two wins, a draw, and a loss since their last clash with Chennaiyin, will be looking to extend their unbeaten run to four matches, following a solid 1-0 victory over Mohammedan SC.
Current Standings: At present, Chennaiyin FC are placed 9th in the points table with 15 points, while Mumbai occupy the 7th position with 17 points.
Head-to-head Record: These two have faced each other in 21 games, with Mumbai winning 11 to Chennaiyin's 6.
Result-wise, the last three games have provided the much-needed relief for Mumbai City FC, managing to string together a 3-match unbeaten streak. Till now, the Islanders have registered four wins in competition, of which two have come in the last three games. Might invoke a curious question: Are the reigning champions back? The answer is no.
The Islanders might be grinding out results, but their performances have been far from convincing. Against Mohammedan SC, a team sitting 13th in the table, they relied on a goalkeeper’s error for their only goal in the 49th minute. Things should have been easier when Mohammedan went down to 10 men in the 35th minute, yet the Islanders mustered just one goal and an xG of 0.58 from open play. While results are all that matter in the end, such lacklustre displays won’t inspire much confidence moving forward for the faithful.
Stats that matter
The Islanders have conceded the third lowest number of goals (13) for a team this season. They have kept clean sheets in their last three games. Overall they have 4 this season. They score 29% of their goals in the period of 16-30.
Mumbai City FC are ranked 2nd in ball possession with 55.8%. They average 15.5 shots and 6.1 corners per game. Subashish Bose and Jamie MacLaren have scored 3 goals each this season. Manvis Singh has also scored 2 goals this season. On the defensive side, the team makes an average of 15.4 clearances and 1.6 saves per game, the worst in the season. They have managed 14 tackles and 9 interceptions but conceded 1.18 goals per game.
Team News - T. P. Rehenesh replaced Lachenpa in the last game, and there is a good chance that he will continue safeguarding the net in the upcoming games.
Mumbai City FC Probable XI - T. P Rehenesh (GK); Mawia, M. Singh, A. Tiri, Rodrigues, Rane, Neiff, Fernandes, V.P. Singh, Karelis, Chhangte
Chennaiyin FC's emphatic 5-1 win over Jamshedpur FC seemed like a turning point, but it was followed by a tough four-game winless streak, including three losses and a goal drought. Last week's crucial victory against Hyderabad FC was just what the Marina Machans needed to revive their campaign and keep their hopes alive. Interestingly, it was also their first win at home this season.
Four games without a win, and Owen Coyle knew he needed a spark. Against Hyderabad, he rolled the dice, shifting to an adventurous three-at-the-back system with two strikers leading the line. The gamble paid off in spectacular fashion. Just five minutes in, Irfan Yadwad, redeployed centrally, showcased his sharp instincts to fire Chennaiyin into an early lead. Only time will tell whether this system will work or not, but the signs are promising.
Stats that matter
Chennaiyin FC have struggled for consistency in front of goal this season, failing to score in five of their 12 matches, including three of their last four. Despite this, they have been a potent attacking force away from home, boasting the second-best expected goals (xG) in the league (1.76) behind only Mumbai City (1.85). Interestingly, a significant portion of Chennaiyin's goals (29%) come in the second half, specifically between the 46th and 60th minutes.
Chennaiyin FC are ranked 12th in ball possession with 44.3%. They average 15.8 shots and 5.2 corners per game. Nikolaos Karelis is the top scorer with 5 goals this season. N. Rodrigues and Yoell Van Nieff have also scored 2 goals each this season. On the defensive side, the team makes an average of 15.2 clearances and 2.3 saves per game, the 9th best in the season. They have managed 15 tackles and 8.8 interceptions but conceded 1.5 goals per game.
Team News - Defensive midfielder Elsinho, who came on as a substitute in the previous game, sustained a serious head injury and is ruled out of the upcoming clash against Mumbai. Additionally, midfielder Connor Shields will also miss Saturday's match following a red card suspension.
Chennaiyin FC Probable XI - Nawaz (GK) Edwards, Lalinpuia, Yumnam, Renthlei, Hnamte, Nassiri, F Choudhary, Jordan Gil, Yadwad, Brambilla
This game has all the makings of a cagey affair, given the struggles both teams have faced in scoring goals. From a statistical standpoint, Mumbai City has dominated Chennaiyin at home, boasting a 7-3 win-loss record in their last 10 encounters. Moreover, the Islanders secured victories over Chennaiyin twice last season, with a 3-0 triumph at home and a 2-0 win away.
Given their historical dominance against Chennaiyin, it's unsurprising that most betting sites favor Mumbai City to win. Mumbai City are the favorites with odds of 1.55, while Chennaiyin's odds are at 5.93. A draw is priced at 4.35.
Mumbai City FC to Win (1-0)
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