Newcastle Jets FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC, A-League Men 2025-26, Today Match Prediction

Newcastle Jets FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC Match Prediction & Analysis

The final weekend of the A-League Men season brings an entertaining F3 Derby at McDonald Jones Stadium, with the freshly crowned Premier's Plate winners hosting a Mariners side looking to close the campaign strongly. Two sides carrying contrasting form lines and differing motivations meet in a fixture that has historically produced drama, and this edition looks set to follow suit.

Current League Standings:

Newcastle Jets sit atop the A-League Men standings with 45 points from 25 games, while Central Coast Mariners sit eighth with 32 points after 25 matches.

Head-To-Head Stats:

Across all competitive meetings since 2005, the teams have played 69 times. Central Coast Mariners have won 28, Newcastle Jets 20, with 21 draws. 

TEAMS PREVIEW

Newcastle Jets FC Preview

The A-League's table-topping Newcastle Jets have been the competition's most prolific attacking side throughout this campaign, averaging 2.04 goals scored per game in the league across their 25 fixtures. Defensively, they have conceded 1.56 goals per match, giving them a +12 goal difference that reflects a team built to attack more than it shuts opponents out.

Over their last five games across competitions, the Jets have scored eight goals, netting twice against Melbourne Victory, once against Adelaide United, twice in the loss to Macarthur, twice against Sydney FC, and once in the defeat to Auckland FC. 

However, they have also leaked nine goals across those same five outings, conceding twice to Melbourne Victory, once to Adelaide, three times to Macarthur, once to Sydney, and twice to Auckland, a run that highlights a dip in defensive resolve despite their title-winning exploits.

Team news confirms several notable absences for Mark Milligan's side. Alexander Badolato, Oscar Fryer, Christian Bracco, and Noah James are all sidelined with ACL injuries, while Thomas Aquilina is out with a hamstring problem. Jordan Baylis, Ben Van Dorssen, Oliver Cockle, Meliwethu Nkomo, Ethan Debono, and Jake Goodwin are also unavailable. Joe Shaughnessy and Will Dobson return to the squad as ins for this fixture. 

Newcastle Jets (4-3-3): Delianov; Bertolissio, Shaughnessy, Natta, Wilmering; Bayliss, Clough, Burgess; Taylor, Rose, Adams

Central Coast Mariners FC Preview

Central Coast Mariners average 1.6 goals scored per game and concede 1.5 per match, making them a relatively open side. Across 25 league fixtures, they have scored 35 goals at a rate of 1.40 per game while conceding 38, which translates to 1.52 goals against per match.

Across their last five games across competitions, the Mariners have scored seven goals, netting once against Auckland, twice against Brisbane Roar, once against Melbourne City, twice against Perth Glory, and once against Melbourne Victory in a 4-1 defeat. 

Conceding ten goals in that same five-game stretch tells a sobering story that they shipped none against Auckland, two to Brisbane, two to Melbourne City, two to Perth, and four to Melbourne Victory.

For Round 26, Alfie McCalmont and Seth Clark are both injured and unavailable. Additionally, Trent Sainsbury, Kaito Taniguchi, Will Kennedy, Sabit Ngor, and Diesel Herrington are not selected. Miguel Di Pizio returns from injury and is back in the squad, offering Warren Moon a welcome attacking boost heading into the F3 Derby. 

Central Coast Mariners (4-5-1): Redmayne; Roux, Tapp, Paull, Mauragis; Theoharous, Eames, Steele, Di Pizio, Auglah; Blair 

NEWCASTLE JETS FC vs CENTRAL COAST MARINERS FC
Winning Prediction

The Jets have managed just one win from their last five games, while the Mariners have gone unbeaten in 11 of their last 13 fixtures, a form imbalance the market largely ignores. With both teams expected to score in an open, pressure-free season finale, a 2-2 draw feels the likeliest outcome.  

We predict a draw (2-2)

1xBet

330% up to ₹65,000 on your 1st Deposit with Reg Code: TOPBK

BET NOW