Sweden vs Tunisia, FIFA World Cup, 2026, Today Match Prediction

Sweden vs Tunisia Match Prediction & Analysis

The final match of Sunday's schedule sees Sweden take on Tunisia in a potentially crucial Group F encounter, following the earlier clash between the Netherlands and Japan. With both sides likely targeting a place among the tournament's best third-placed teams, every point could prove decisive. 

For Tunisia, there is added incentive, as reaching the knockout stage would mark a historic first in their eight World Cup appearances.

The match will be played at Estadio BBVA in Monterrey, Mexico, a venue renowned for its stunning backdrop of the Cerro de la Silla mountain. Overall, the stadium will host four matches, including a Round of 32 fixture.

Head-to-head Record: It will be the first meeting between the sides in World Cup, but it previous matchups between the sides 

TEAMS PREVIEW

Sweden Preview

After missing out on the last World Cup, Sweden are back for their 13th appearance, with Graham Potter leading the way. Their route to the tournament was anything but smooth. 

The Blågult failed to win a game in qualifying and finished bottom of their group, only to earn a playoff lifeline through their Nations League ranking. 

They seized that opportunity, winning two knockout ties in March, including a dramatic 3-2 victory over Poland sealed by Viktor Gyökeres' 88th-minute strike. With Potter only taking over in October 2025, the disappointing qualifying campaign can hardly be laid on him. 

Since his arrival, Sweden have undergone a noticeable transformation. Potter has prioritised defensive organisation and discipline, building a side that prefers to absorb pressure and strike on the counter. Combined with a talented midfield and dangerous attacking options, the Blågult are a dangerous proposition, yet the defense is still work in progress. 

The squad is largely as expected, although the absence of Dejan Kulusevski is a significant blow, with the Tottenham winger unable to recover from a patellar injury in time for the tournament.

Key Players

Sweden's fortunes could hinge on the partnership between Viktor Gyökeres and Alexander Isak. Gyökeres arrives in excellent form after finishing as Arsenal's top scorer with 16 league goals in their title-winning campaign, while Isak will hope to put an injury-hit season at Liverpool behind him. 

Another key figure is captain Jesper Karlström, whose leadership and ball-winning ability make him the heartbeat of both Sweden and Udinese's midfield.

Team News 

Swedish head coach Graham Potter has been handed a major boost ahead of the World Cup opener, with a fully fit squad at his disposal and no injury concerns to contend with.

Sweden Probable Starting Lineup (3-4-2-1)  

Viktor Johansson (GK); Isak Hien, Victor Lindelof, Gustaf Lagerbielke, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Mattias Svanberg, Jesper Karlstrom, Hjalmar Ekdal, Anthony Elanga, Alexander Isak, Viktor Gyökeres.

Tunisia Preview

Ranked 46th in the world, Tunisia are set for their third consecutive World Cup appearance and seventh overall. The Eagles of Carthage impressed in Qatar, famously beating France 1-0 and holding Denmark to a goalless draw, only for a defeat to Australia to deny them a place in the knockout rounds. 

That performance and the fact that they reached back-to-back AFCON competitions in recent years, and now a World Cup qualification without losing a game, have established Tunisia as one of Africa's most consistent sides.

Their biggest strengths lie in midfield and defensive organisation. Tunisia did not concede a single goal during qualifying and have kept two clean sheets in their last four  friendlies. The main concern, however, is at the other end of the pitch, where the lack of a proven goalscorer remains an issue. 

Head coach Sabri Lamouchi only took charge in January 2026, but he brings previous World Cup experience from his time with Ivory Coast in 2014. Since his arrival, he has prioritised youth, leaving Tunisia with one of the youngest squads at the tournament, averaging 26 years of age.

Key Players 

Hannibal Mejbri is the heartbeat of this Tunisia side. The Burnley midfielder provides energy, leadership and creativity in the middle of the park, and he was one of the standout performers for the Eagles of Carthage at AFCON 2025. 

Out wide, full-backs Ali Abdi and Yan Valery offer the perfect balance — with Abdi providing an attacking outlet and Valery bringing defensive solidity, making them complementary forces on either flank.

Team News 

Coming into the tournament under an injury cloud, Dylan Bronn was a key concern for Sabri Lamouchi, though his appearances on the bench in Tunisia’s last two friendlies have offered a positive sign. There are still worries over star man Hannibal Mejbri, who picked up a knock against Austria, and his status remains uncertain for now.

Tunisia Probable Starting Lineup (3-5-2) 

Aymen Dahmen (GK); Dylan Bronn, Montassar Talbi, Yan Valery, Mortadha Ben Ouanes, Ellyes Skhiri, Hannibal Mejbri, Anis Ben Slimane, Ali Abdi, Elias Saad, Hazem Mastouri.

SWEDEN vs TUNISIA
Winning Prediction

With both sides among the lower-ranked teams in Group F, this feels like a knockout tie in all but name. Sweden may have the edge after coming through two playoff matches to reach the tournament, and they also scored three goals in each of those games. 

Tunisia, meanwhile, are typically hard to break down but have struggled badly for goals, finding the net only once in their last four outings. With more attacking quality on their side, Sweden look best placed to edge it, with over 2.5 goals a strong possibility.

According to the bookmakers, Sweden go into the clash as favourites, priced at 1.90 to win. Tunisia are outsiders at 4.20, while the draw sits at 3.35.

Sweden to win (2-1).

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