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Bangladesh vs Australia, BAN vs AUS 2026, Today Match Prediction
BAN vs AUS Win Probability
Toss Winner - Australia won the toss and choose to bat first
Bangladesh beat Australia by 5 wickets (D/L) method
Australia have now lost four of their last five ODIs. Can they arrest this slide?
- Nathan Ellis continues to be Australia’s primary threat with the ball, utilizing his variations perfectly to claim 3/38 amidst a tough opening fixture.
- Returning all-rounder Mosaddek Hossain remains the vital cog for the hosts, coming off a spectacular match-winning unbeaten 86 and two crucial wickets.
- Teams have been bowled out in four of the last six completed ODIs in Mirpur, including scores of 114, 117 and 191.
Bangladesh are favorites to win the second ODI.
| Tournament: | Australia tour of Bangladesh, 2026 |
| Format: | odi |
| Venue: | Sher-E-Bangla National Cricket Stadium, Dhaka, Bangladesh |
| Toss Prediction: | To Bat |
BAN vs AUS Match Prediction & Analysis
The action moves to a crucial second assignment as Bangladesh looks to seal a historic series victory when they lock horns with Australia in the 2nd ODI at the Sher-e-Bangla National Stadium in Mirpur on June 11. The Tigers pulled off an emphatic 86-run victory (via DLS method) in the opening match, completely shocking a depleted Australian unit. It was a momentous occasion, marking Bangladesh's first-ever ODI victory against Australia on home soil.
The visitors looked entirely out of depth against both high-quality pace and spin, putting tremendous pressure on stand-in captain Josh Inglis. With the three-match series completely on the line, Australia faces a must-win situation. They need their heavy hitters to quickly adapt to the tricky subcontinental conditions, or risk losing a historic series to a highly confident home side.
RECENT PERFORMANCE
BAN
W
W
W
L
W
BAN
284/8 in 50.0 5.68
BAN vs AUS 2026
Bangladesh beat Australia by 86 runs (D/L) method191/9 in 42.2 4.51
199/4 in 35.3 5.61
BAN vs NZ 2026
Bangladesh beat New Zealand by 6 wickets198/10 in 48.4 4.07
AUS
L
L
W
L
L
AUS
284/8 in 50.0 5.68
BAN vs AUS 2026
Bangladesh beat Australia by 86 runs (D/L) method191/9 in 42.2 4.51
HEAD TO HEAD
Last 1 Matches
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TEAMS PREVIEW
Bangladesh Preview
Bangladesh enters this game riding a massive wave of confidence after taking a 1-0 lead in the ODI series. Mehidy Hasan Miraz has built a reputation as one of the most astute captains in Asian conditions, and his decision to field a settled batting order paid dividends in the opener as they posted an above-par 284/8. The top three of Saif Hassan, Tanzid Hasan, and Najmul Hossain Shanto look increasingly comfortable at the international level. Shanto's 67 was his third half‑century in his last five ODIs, while Tanzid's 54 provided the aggressive spark at the top. The return of Mosaddek Hossain (86* off 70 balls) transformed the middle order; the 30‑year‑old off‑spinner also chipped in with two crucial wickets.
The bowling attack has been reshaped around raw pace. Nahid Rana announced himself as the fastest bowler in the series, consistently hitting 150kph and finishing with 4/41. His ability to extract bounce from a surface that traditionally favours spin gives Bangladesh a weapon they have rarely possessed. Mustafizur Rahman (1/35) provided control with his cutters, while Taskin Ahmed and Shoriful Islam add depth. Rishad Hossain's leg‑spin was held back in the opener but could be unleashed if the pitch starts to grip. The presence of Tanvir Islam, a left‑arm orthodox, gives Mehidy a fifth bowling option.
Key Players: Tanzid Hasan Tamim, Nahid Rana, Mehidy Hasan Miraz
Bangladesh Predicted Playing XI:
Tanzid Hasan Tamim, Saif Hassan, Najmul Hossain Shanto, Litton Das (WK), Towhid Hridoy, Mosaddek Hossain, Mehidy Hasan Miraz (C), Taskin Ahmed, Mustafizur Rahman, Nahid Rana, Tanvir Islam
Bangladesh Key Players From Previous Game Of Australia tour of Bangladesh, 2026
Bangladesh Actual Playing XI:
Taskin Ahmed, Nahid Rana, Mustafizur Rahman, Mehidy Hasan Miraz, Soumya Sarkar, Tanzid Hasan, Najmul Hossain Shanto, Towhid Hridoy, Litton Das, Mosaddek Hossain, Tanvir Islam
Australia Preview
After a 15‑year wait, Australia's return to Bangladesh for a bilateral ODI series produced a result that felt both historic and inevitable.
The 287-run chase never recovered from a horror start: Matt Short lost his off stump to the first ball of the innings, and Marnus Labuschagne's nightmare run with the bat continued when he was trapped in front by Mustafizur Rahman. Alex Carey (47) and Cooper Connolly (35) offered brief resistance, but Nahid Rana's four‑wicket burst ripped through the middle order. Cameron Green's unbeaten 52 was a one‑man fight, but with wickets falling around him, the target drifted out of reach.
Josh Inglis' first assignment as ODI captain has been a baptism of fire. The wicketkeeper‑batter top‑scored with 19 in the opener, a return that underlined the struggles of a makeshift top order.
The pace attack has been led by Nathan Ellis (3/38), whose variations accounted for Saif Hassan, Tanzid Hasan, and Towhid Hridoy. Ben Dwarshuis went wicketless but bowled tightly, while Xavier Bartlett was expensive. The spin department, without the injured Tanveer Sangha, now features Adam Zampa, Matthew Kuhnemann, and debutant Todd Murphy. Zampa was economical (1/44), but the attack lacked the penetration to break Bangladesh's middle‑order partnership. Australia must find a way to take wickets in the middle overs, or the series will slip away.
Key Players: Alex Carey, Cameron Green, Nathan Ellis
Australia Predicted Playing XI:
Matthew Short, Cooper Connolly, Josh Inglis (WK/C), Marnus Labuschagne, Alex Carey, Cameron Green, Matt Renshaw, Liam Scott, Xavier Bartlett, Nathan Ellis, Adam Zampa
Australia Key Players From Previous Game Of Australia tour of Bangladesh, 2026
Australia Actual Playing XI:
Alex Carey, Marnus Labuschagne, Matt Renshaw, Adam Zampa, Xavier Bartlett, Nathan Ellis, Josh Inglis, Cooper Connolly, Cameron Green, Matthew Short, Riley Meredith
PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
Weather Conditions
The weather forecast for Dhaka on June 11 predicts warm and humid conditions, with ambient temperatures hovering around 32 degrees Celsius. Unlike the rain-shortened opening match, meteorological indicators show clear skies with minimal cloud cover and an extremely low chance of precipitation. Fans should be treated to a complete, uninterrupted 50-over match.
BAN vs AUS Pitch Report
Pitch Condition
BalancedBatting Conditions
Moderate ScoringPace Bowling
Two PacedSpin Bowling
High Turn
The Shere Bangla National Stadium has produced a fascinating mix of low-scoring contests and batting-friendly encounters over the last year. Looking at the last five completed ODIs at the venue, the first-innings totals have been 284, 198, 247, 290, and 274, giving an average first-innings score of 258.6 runs. However, that average does not tell the full story. Three of those five matches saw teams post 274 or more, suggesting that batters who settle in can score heavily despite the surface's reputation for assisting bowlers.
What has stood out most is the assistance available for spinners and slower bowlers during the middle overs. Teams have been bowled out in four of the last six completed ODIs here, including scores of 114, 117, and 191. Once the pitch begins to slow, stroke-making becomes considerably harder, and wickets often fall in clusters.
The venue has not heavily favoured either batting first or chasing recently. Bangladesh successfully defended totals of 296, 290, and 284, while teams chasing have also won comfortably when conditions suited batting. The key trend is that scores above 270-280 have generally proven strong, while totals below 220 have left batting sides vulnerable.
With Australia likely to attack more aggressively after their defeat in the first ODI, another first-innings score in the 260-280 range could be enough to put considerable pressure on the chasing side at this venue.
Toss: To Bat
Despite Australia electing to field first in the previous match, historical data heavily favors setting a target at Mirpur. The pitch tends to dry up as the afternoon progresses, offering additional grip and sharp turn to the spin bowlers in the second innings. Expect the captain winning the toss to back his batters and comfortably opt to bat first.
BAN vs AUS
Winning Prediction
Bangladesh have all the momentum. Their batting lineup fired in the opening match of the series, their pace attack looks solid with a genuine match‑winner in Nahid Rana, and the return of Mosaddek Hossain has added balance to the middle order. At home, on a surface that historically rewards spin, Mehidy Hasan Miraz's side has the tools to defend any total above 240.
Australia, by contrast, look fractured. The batting order has been reshuffled beyond recognition, the spin attack lacks the depth to trouble Bangladesh's middle order, and the fielding dropped four catches in the opener. Cameron Green cannot rescue every chase alone. With the series on the line, the tourists will need their top order to fire and their bowlers to find early breakthroughs. But Bangladesh's confidence, combined with the spin-friendly conditions, should prove too much for a depleted Australian side.
Bangladesh are favorites to win the second ODI.
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