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Lancashire vs Nottinghamshire, T20BLAST, Today Match Prediction
LAN vs NOT Win Probability
Toss Winner - Lancashire won the toss and choose to bat first
Lancashire beat Nottinghamshire by 39 runs
Lancashire have won three of their last five Blast clashes against Nottinghamshire.
- Tom Moores was Nottinghamshire’s best batter last season, with 459 runs at an average 46 at a strike rate of 157.19.
- Lancashire’s Chris Green (3 for 35) was the only bowler to finish with an economy rate under 10 in their last outing, highlighting the attack’s lack of control through the middle and death overs
- Ben Duckett, returning to the Blast for the first time since July 2024, looked in excellent touch with 29 from 18 balls.
Back Lancashire as the winners of this game.
| Tournament: | Vitality T20 Blast, 2026 |
| Format: | t20 |
| Venue: | Emirates Old Trafford, Manchester, United Kingdom |
| Toss Prediction: | To Bowl |
| Weather: | 30.1°C|Sunny |
LAN vs NOT Match Prediction & Analysis
Lancashire Lightning and Nottinghamshire Outlaws will lock horns in Match 16 of the 2026 Vitality Blast at Emirates Old Trafford on Monday, 25 May. Both sides enter this North Group encounter on the back of disappointing opening defeats, meaning the pressure is already on to get their campaigns back on track.
RECENT PERFORMANCE
LAN
L
W
L
W
L
LAN
NOT
L
W
L
L
W
NOT
279/9 in 50.0 5.58
RLODC
Surrey beat Nottinghamshire by 10 runs
289/8 in 50.0 5.78
291/10 in 47.2 6.15
343/7 in 50.0 6.86
HEAD TO HEAD
Last 7 Matches
Show More Show Less
185/10 in 48.5
RLODC
Lancashire beat Nottinghamshire by 7 wickets
187/3 in 40.5
149/5 in 18.5
VITALITY T20 BLAST 2023
Nottinghamshire won by 5 wickets
145/10 in 18.3
208/4 in 20.0
VITALITY T20 BLAST 2023
Lancashire won by 22 runs
186/5 in 20.0
TEAMS PREVIEW
Lancashire Preview
Lancashire began their season at the Kia Oval, where they were outclassed by Surrey. Set a daunting 214 to win, the Lightning never recovered from a horror start – Reece Topley removed Keaton Jennings and Matty Hurst in the very first over, leaving them 0 for 2. Although Paul Coughlin (37) and Chris Green (35) showed some defiance with a 62‑run stand, the visitors were eventually bowled out for 154, losing by 59 runs. Captain Keaton Jennings will be desperate for his top order to show far greater resilience on home turf.
Paul Coughlin and Chris Green provided the only resistance of note, sharing an enterprising stand of 62 from 38 balls, but the damage done by that catastrophic start proved too much to overcome. With bat in hand, Coughlin hit three sixes in his 37, and Green made 35 before both fell in the middle overs. It was a performance that will concern a side that reached Finals Day last season.
The batting is built around two key figures. Jennings, the captain, was Lancashire's leading run-scorer in 2025 with 459 runs in the competition, and is the anchor the innings is structured around. The new overseas signing Ben McDermott arrives with significant credentials: he has accumulated over 3,000 runs in the Big Bash League at a strike rate close to 140, including three centuries, and scored 1,138 runs in 44 Blast appearances for Hampshire between 2022 and 2024. He was dismissed cheaply against Surrey, but his quality is not in question.
The bowling attack is where Lancashire carry genuine match-winning potential. James Anderson took 20 wickets at an economy rate of just 7.85 during last year's Blast campaign and extended his county contract into a second year. Luke Wood was Lancashire's leading wicket-taker in 2025 with 22 dismissals, and alongside Anderson gives the Lightning a seam attack most sides in the competition would envy.
The squad is missing Luke Wells, Ajeet Singh Dale, and Arav Shetty through long-term injuries, which stretches the batting depth considerably. A home game against Nottinghamshire represents the perfect opportunity to open their account.
Key Players: Keaton Jennings, James Anderson, Chris Green
Lancashire Predicted Playing XI:
Keaton Jennings (C), Michael Jones, Matthew Hurst (WK), Ben McDermott, Joseph Moores, Chris Green, Tom Hartley, James Anderson, Jack Blatherwick, Paul Coughlin, Saqib Mahmood
Lancashire Key Players From Previous Game Of Vitality T20 Blast, 2026
Lancashire Actual Playing XI:
Saqib Mahmood, Keaton Jennings, George Balderson, Tom Hartley, Jack Blatherwick, Matthew Hurst, Harry Singh, Chris Green, Michael Jones, Joseph Moores, Ben McDermott
Nottinghamshire Preview
The Outlaws arrive at Emirates Old Trafford without a point after a sobering home opener, going down by seven wickets to Yorkshire at Trent Bridge. Nottinghamshire were restricted to 167-7, a total that always looked below par on a good surface, and Yorkshire's spinners did the bulk of the damage: Jafer Chohan took 2-26, Dom Bess 2-27, and Moeen Ali 1-19.
The batting, full of talent on paper, failed to click. Joe Clarke was dismissed for a first-ball duck, Duckett made a bright 29 (18) before picking out deep mid-off, and Munsey's 28 off 23 balls promised more than it delivered. Tom Moores looked in good touch making 28 from 19 but could not go on. The story of the innings was of batters getting starts without converting them, and the Outlaws will know they need at least one big score to post a competitive total.
Moores was their leading run-scorer in 2025 with 459 runs, striking at 157, and is the key figure in the middle order alongside Clarke, whose batting has been outstanding in the County Championship this season. South African overseas signing George Linde brings considerable experience to the lower order, having taken over 200 T20 wickets across a career spanning franchise leagues in South Africa, England, the Caribbean, the United States, and Pakistan.
With the ball, debutant left-arm spinner Joe Pocklington offered promise, while new recruit Benny Howell brings vast franchise experience and adds a crafty variation to the Outlaws' attack. The seam options of Olly Stone and Dillon Pennington give the side pace, though both were punished by Yorkshire's batters.
The Outlaws made good strides in 2025 after a disastrous 2024, winning seven matches, but missed out on the quarter-finals. The pressure to return to the knockout stages this year is considerable, and a win at Old Trafford would be an ideal way to get their campaign moving.
Key Players: Joe Clarke, George Munsey, Dillon Pennington
Nottinghamshire Predicted Playing XI:
Joe Clarke (C), Ben Duckett, George Munsey, Jack Haynes, Tom Moores (WK), Lyndon James, Benny Howell/ George Linde, Joe Pocklington, Olly Stone, Dillon Pennington, Mohammad Ali
Nottinghamshire Key Players From Previous Game Of Vitality T20 Blast, 2026
Nottinghamshire Actual Playing XI:
Farhan Ahmed, Mohammad Ali, Joe Clarke, Jack Haynes, Benny Howell, George Linde, Freddie McCann, Tom Moores, George Munsey, Dillon Pennington, Joe Pocklington
PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
Weather Conditions
Manchester is set for a fine late‑May day on Monday. The forecast indicates clear to partly cloudy skies, with no significant rain expected during the match window. Temperatures will be pleasant for cricket, peaking at around 27°C (81°F) in the afternoon and dropping to a comfortable 16°C (61°F) by the close. Humidity will be moderate, and any breeze is likely to be light. Conditions are therefore ideal for a full, uninterrupted contest.
LAN vs NOT Pitch Report
Pitch Condition
BalancedBatting Conditions
Moderate ScoringPace Bowling
SwingSpin Bowling
Minimal Turn
Emirates Old Trafford has hosted more than 70 T20 matches, making it one of the most familiar Blast venues in the country. The pitch historically offers assistance to seamers with the new ball, providing good bounce and swing in the early overs. As the innings progresses, the surface tends to slow down, bringing spinners into play with turn and variable bounce. A par score at Old Trafford is typically in the region of 160-180, and the ground has a reputation for being a fair contest between bat and ball - neither a belter nor a minefield. Teams batting second have won slightly more often than sides defending, but the gap is narrow enough that the toss is not regarded as decisive.
Toss: To Bowl
The match gets underway at 4:00 PM local time, with the floodlights already taking effect under a late‑spring sky. Historically, at Old Trafford, teams have shown a slight preference for bowling first, believing that setting a target allows them to apply scoreboard pressure in front of a parochial home crowd. However, with both batting units showing vulnerability in their openers, the captain who wins the toss may feel inclined to insert the opposition and let the new ball do the talking under the evening lights.
LAN vs NOT
Winning Prediction
This is a fixture between two sides desperate to bounce back from opening day disappointments. Lancashire’s batting collapse - 0 for 2 and 49 for 5 - will be the fresher wound, and the pressure will be on their top order to prove that horror show was an aberration. The return to familiar conditions at Old Trafford should aid their cause, and the presence of experienced heads like James Anderson and Liam Livingstone adds valuable know-how.
Nottinghamshire, by contrast, looked more composed with the bat but ultimately fell short of a defendable total. Their bowling attack, with the pace of Pennington and Stone complemented by the guile of Linde, arguably looks more balanced on paper. However, the Outlaws have a worrying recent head-to-head record at this ground, having lost three of their last four T20 visits to Manchester by convincing margins.
On balance, Lancashire’s home advantage and the psychological boost of playing on a surface they know intimately should prove decisive. Expect a much-improved batting performance from Jennings and his men, with the experienced Chris Green once again playing a pivotal role in the middle overs. The Lightning to get their season up and running.
Back Lancashire as the winners of this game.
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