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Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals, IPLT20, Today Match Prediction
MI vs RR Win Probability
Toss Winner - Mumbai Indians won the toss and choose to bowl first
Rajasthan Royals beat Mumbai Indians by 30 runs
RR look to seal their playoff spot
- Vaibhav Suryavanshi continues to be in form with 175 runs in the last 3 matches, striking at 233.33.
- Teams have successfully chased down a total in 3 of the last 4 games, of which two had a 200+ runs target.
- Tilak Verma has hit 2 fifties in his last 3 innings for the Mumbai Indians.
Rajasthan Royals to win
| Tournament: | Indian Premier League, 2026 |
| Format: | t20 |
| Venue: | Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai City, India |
| Toss Prediction: | To Bowl |
| Weather: | 34.1°C|Partly cloudy |
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MI vs RR Live Prediction
MI vs RR Match Prediction & Analysis
A promising RR meets MI, a side currently going through an existential crisis. A star-studded side since the inception of the Indian Premier League, the number of big players was never a headache for the Mumbai Indians.
Current India T20I skipper, former T20 World Cup-winning captain, the world’s best fast bowler, and Hardik Pandya all under one roof. This would have been a dream team for any other franchise in the world, but it has led to many clashes and differences in the MI camp.
The Rajasthan Royals have done well without Sanju this year. Yashasvi Jaiswal led the side after skipper Riyan Parag missed the last game against LSG due to a hamstring injury. Jaiswal and the 15-year-old prodigy, Vaibhav Suryavanshi, have been exceptional and have played key roles in many of RR’s wins this year.
Will RR repeat their complete dominance over MI from their previous head-to-head encounter? Or will Rohit Sharma deliver big on his home ground to end the season on a winning note?
RECENT PERFORMANCE
MI
L
W
L
W
L
MI
148/6 in 18.5 7.86
147/8 in 20.0 7.35
167/8 in 20.0 8.35
166/7 in 20.0 8.3
229/4 in 18.4 12.27
228/5 in 20.0 11.4
160/2 in 18.1 8.81
159/7 in 20.0 7.95
RR
W
L
L
L
W
RR
225/3 in 19.1 11.74
220/5 in 20.0 11
HEAD TO HEAD
Last 5 Matches
Show More Show Less
214/4 in 19.3
IPL 2023
Mumbai Indians won by 6 wkts
212/7 in 20.0
TEAMS PREVIEW
Mumbai Indians Preview
Mumbai Indians are 9th in the points table with 4 wins from 13 matches, two of which came in the last 4 games. The team has been at its lowest this year, and we can safely say that the 2026 IPL was MI's worst season in a long time.
Amidst the rumours of sacking Hardik Pandya, the skipper made a return to the side in the last game at Eden Gardens. It wasn’t a great outing for any of the MI players, with Tilak Verma scoring just 20 off 32 balls.
The left-hand middle-order batsman had delivered an unbeaten 75-run knock in the previous match against the Punjab Kings as MI chased down 205 runs in Dharamsala. Except for a few standout performances, which include a hundred earlier in the season, Verma has been a huge disappointment.
Despite some big guns in the side that include Rohit Sharma, Sherfane Rutherford, and Will Jacks, there hasn’t been any consistent power-hitting from MI players in the season. Rohit Sharma is a promising selection in the top team batter market at odds of 2.90.
Jasprit Bumrah and Deepak Chahar will lead the pace attack for MI. Chahar is known for his swing-bowling ability and can be a lethal pacer in the powerplay. Corbin Bosch has emerged as a good wicket-taking option in recent matches and will be one to watch out for. He’s a good bet at 2.60 odds to be the top bowler for MI.
Interesting Stats
Jasprit Bumrah has been wicketless in two of the last 3 matches for MI.
Bosch has picked up 8 wickets in his last 3 innings for MI, which included a 3-fer and 4-fer.
MI Over/Under Betting Tips
Tilak Varma Total Runs Over 22.5 @ 1.85
Tilak Varma loves batting against RR, averaging 47.2 with two fifties and a top score of 65. At the Wankhede, he has scored 512 runs in 25 innings with a fifty to his name. He has also crossed 22.5 runs in 5 of his last 10 outings, we back him to end the season on a high.
Ryan Rickelton Total Runs Over 25.5 @ 1.85
Ryan Rickelton is in top form at the Wankhede, averaging a huge 81.50 at this ground with a strike rate of 178.69, including a stunning 123 earlier this season. He has also crossed 25 runs in 5 of his last 10 innings, so backing him to go past 25.5 runs looks a smart pick.
Mumbai Indians Predicted Playing XI:
Ryan Rickelton (wk), Rohit Sharma, Naman Dhir, Suryakumar Yadav, Tilak Varma, Hardik Pandya (c), Will Jacks, Corbin Bosch, Deepak Chahar, Jasprit Bumrah, Raghu Sharma
Mumbai Indians Key Players From Previous Game Of Indian Premier League, 2026
Mumbai Indians Actual Playing XI:
Ryan Rickelton, Corbin Bosch, Allah Ghazanfar, Will Jacks, Suryakumar Yadav, Tilak Varma, Hardik Pandya, Raghu Sharma, Deepak Chahar, Naman Dhir, Shardul Thakur
Rajasthan Royals Preview
RR have a great chance of reaching the playoffs. Even with Riyan Parag missing, they still beat LSG by 7 wickets, chasing down a 200+ run total. Vaibhav Suryavanshi was the top batter with a 93-run knock off 38 balls, as skipper Jaiswal and he stitched together a 75-run opening partnership in 39 balls.
From there on, it was Dhruv Jurel and Suryavanshi who added another 105 runs for the 2nd wicket in just 45 balls. It was one of the best RR performances of the season. Parag would be happy with his team having found momentum towards the business end of IPL.
Suryavanshi is priced at 2.25 odds to be the top RR batter with 4rabet. Dhruv Jurel and Riyan Parag are the big guns in the middle order and can deliver impactful knocks at 3 and 4. In the finisher’s role, Donovan Ferreira has been a great find for the Rajasthan Royals.
The batting order is quite deep with Shubham Dubey and Dasun Shanaka in the lower order, and we can expect a good finish from RR. Jofra Archer is the top gun in this bowling attack. RR got Sandeep Sharma back in the side for the LSG game, and while the experienced campaigner failed to deliver, he’s still an asset.
Interesting Stats
Ferreira delivered two strong finishes in recent matches, scoring 47 (14) and 52 (26) against DC and PBKS
Dhruv Jurel has scored two consecutive fifties at number 3 in his last two innings
RR Over/Under Betting Tips
Vaibhav Sooryavanshi Total 6's Over 2.5 @ 2.00
Vaibhav Suryavanshi is the leading six-hitter this season, smashing 53 maximums in just 13 matches at an average of 44.54 and a blazing strike rate of 236.33. He has cleared the ropes more than 2.5 times in 4 of his last 5 innings, including monster efforts of 10, 12, 5, and 7 sixes. Back him to clear this mark with ease.
Vaibhav Sooryavanshi Total Runs Over 29.5 @ 1.85
Vaibhav Suryavanshi has been the most explosive batter this season, smashing 579 runs in 13 matches at an average of 44.54 and a blazing strike rate of 236.33. His recent form is electric with knocks of 93 off 38, 103 off 37, and 78 off 26 in his last 10 innings. He has also crossed 29 runs in 5 of his last 10 outings, making him a hot pick to clear this total.
Yashasvi Jaiswal Total Runs Over 28.5 @ 1.85
Yashasvi Jaiswal has a stunning record against MI, averaging 53.29 with two centuries and a top score of 124. At the Wankhede, he averages 45.6 in 5 innings with a hundred and a fifty. He has also crossed 28 runs in 3 of his last 10 innings, giving him every chance to go big in this fixture.
Rajasthan Royals Predicted Playing XI:
Yashasvi Jaiswal (c), Lhuan-dre Pretorius, Dhruv Jurel (wk), Donovan Ferreira, Shubham Dubey, Dasun Shanaka, Jofra Archer, Sushant Mishra, Sandeep Sharma, Brijesh Sharma, Yash Raj Punja
Rajasthan Royals Key Players From Previous Game Of Indian Premier League, 2026
Rajasthan Royals Actual Playing XI:
Shubham Dubey, Vaibhav Suryavanshi, Donovan Ferreira, Yashasvi Jaiswal, Dhruv Jurel, Riyan Parag, Yash Raj Punja, Brijesh Sharrma, Jofra Archer, Nandre Burger, Dasun Shanaka
PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
Weather Conditions
There will be scattered thunderstorms in Mumbai with a high of 33 degrees Celsius. It could affect the game at the beginning, but in the late afternoon, it will clear out, and we can have a play with reduced overs. However, the overcast conditions will offer some movement to the new-ball pacers.
MI vs RR Pitch Report
Pitch Condition
BattingBatting Conditions
High ScoringPace Bowling
Pace BounceSpin Bowling
Average Turn
It is a batting paradise at the Wankhede. The average first-inning score in the last 5 IPL 2026 matches here is 222 runs. However, teams have chased down 200+ totals on three occasions at this venue this season. SRH chased down a 244-run target against MI at Wankhede last month. We reckon the team batting first should aim for something around 230 runs to be in a winning position. It will be quite challenging for the bowlers to find wickets at this venue.
Total Over/Under Betting Tips
Mumbai Indians to win the coin toss @ 1.90
We back Mumbai Indians to win the coin toss in today's match against Rajasthan Royals.
Toss: To Bowl
A great batting venue, Wankhede Stadium is a high-scoring ground where both teams will be looking to bowl first and chase down a total. Teams bowling first have won 3 of the last 4 matches while chasing competitive totals. Though MI is struggling at the moment, they have depth in the batting with superstars at key positions.
MI vs RR
Winning Prediction
While MI have the home advantage, they haven’t done well on this ground in IPL 2026. The bookmakers have made both teams close in terms of odds of winning. Nevertheless, going by the current form, we reckon RR will have the upper hand going into this match. They have a strong batting lineup with in-form players at key positions and a consistent finisher who will be crucial on this ground.
Rajasthan Royals to win
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