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Melbourne Stars Women vs Sydney Thunder Women, WBBLT20, Today Match Prediction 06 December 2025
MLSW vs STW Win Probability
Toss Winner - Sydney Thunder Women won the toss and choose to bowl first
Sydney Thunder Women won by 9 wickets (D/L) method
Melbourne Stars Women will seal their playoff berth if they win this match.
- A score of around 160-170 will be competitive at Junction Oval.
- Melbourne Stars will depend on Meg Lanning, Amy Jones, and Sophie Day to be the impact-makers.
- For Sydney Thunder, Tahlia Wilson, Phoebe Litchfield, and Shabnim Ismail will be the key players.
Melbourne Stars Women are our picks for the winners of this clash.
| Tournament: | Womens Big Bash League, 2025 |
| Format: | t20 |
| Venue: | Junction Oval, St Kilda, Melbourne, Australia, Australia |
| Toss Prediction: | To Bowl |
| Weather: | 15.0°C|Moderate rain |
MLSW vs STW Match Prediction & Analysis
Melbourne Stars Women take on Sydney Thunder Women in the 38th fixture of the 2025 Women's Big Bash League. The Stars have 11 points from nine games and are in second spot, and though they've lost their past two, they're positioned nicely to advance. The Thunder are battling away down the bottom with seven points from nine matches, and have already been eliminated. Expect a tight match between these two sides.
MLSW vs STW Betting News
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RECENT PERFORMANCE
MLSW
L
L
W
W
W
MLSW
164/5 in 20.0 8.2
148/8 in 20.0 7.4
176/4 in 17.0 10.35
98/10 in 15.5 6.19
115/10 in 16.3 6.97
160/5 in 20.0 8
151/6 in 20.0 7.55
114/10 in 16.2 6.98
STW
W
L
L
W
W
STW
153/7 in 20.0 7.65
130/6 in 20.0 6.5
176/4 in 19.1 9.18
174/6 in 20.0 8.7
64/10 in 17.0 3.76
68/2 in 11.1 6.09
154/1 in 18.2 8.4
150/7 in 20.0 7.5
HEAD TO HEAD
Last 4 Matches
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TEAMS PREVIEW
Melbourne Stars Women Preview
Despite losing their last two games, Melbourne Stars Women are in a strong position in this WBBL campaign. They hold second place with 11 points from nine matches at a NRR of +0.863. This is their final league outing, and a win here will confirm their place in the playoffs.
Their batting depth has helped them through the competition, and several players have been in good form. Meg Lanning has led the way with 417 runs across nine innings, the highest tally of the season, and her strike rate of 144 has kept them moving at the top.
Amy Jones has offered steady support, putting up 191 runs from nine innings at a strike rate of 126. Annabel Sutherland and Danielle Gibson have added further stability by moving past 140 runs each, strengthening their middle order.
The bowling unit has leaned on Sophie Day, who has taken 16 wickets from nine matches while keeping her economy at 6.67. Kim Garth and Annabel Sutherland have contributed 22 between them, and Kapp has added eight, giving this attack enough variety for this contest.
Melbourne Stars Women Predicted Playing XI:
Meg Lanning, Rhys McKenna, Amy Jones(w), Annabel Sutherland(c), Maia Bouchier, Danielle Gibson, Kim Garth, Sasha Moloney, Georgia Prestwidge, Maisy Gibson, Sophie Day
Melbourne Stars Women Key Players From Previous Game Of Womens Big Bash League, 2025
Melbourne Stars Women Actual Playing XI:
Meg Lanning, Annabel Sutherland, Danielle Gibson, Rhys McKenna, Amy Jones, Georgia Prestwidge, Kim Garth, Sophie Day, Maisy Gibson, Sasha Moloney, Maia Bouchier
Sydney Thunder Women Preview
Sydney Thunder Women have had a tough campaign, sitting second from bottom after managing only three victories from their nine matches while taking five defeats. They also have just one group game left, and with only seven points so far, the Thunder are already out of the race.
Captain Phoebe Litchfield has been the driving force in their batting effort, scoring 234 runs in nine attempts at an average of 33.42 and a strike rate of 149. Her form has been reliable, and she produced a match-winning effort of 61 from 43 against Brisbane Heat Women in their last fixture.
Tahlia Wilson has added strong support as well, striking 204 runs in eight games at 118.60. Heather Knight and Georgia Voll have delivered as well, with Knight crossing the 200 run mark this season, and looking good for a 25 to 30 run knock here.
In the bowling unit, Shabnim Ismail has been the most effective option so far, taking 12 wickets in nine matches while keeping her economy to 7.97 per over. Samantha Bates and Georgia Voll have taken eight wickets, giving the attack balance and enough variety to trouble most lineups.
Sydney Thunder Women Predicted Playing XI:
Georgia Voll, Tahlia Wilson(w), Phoebe Litchfield(c), Heather Knight, Anika Learoyd, Lucy Finn, Laura Harris, Emily Arlott, Taneale Peschel, Shabnim Ismail, Samantha Bates
Sydney Thunder Women Key Players From Previous Game Of Womens Big Bash League, 2025
Sydney Thunder Women Actual Playing XI:
Heather Knight, Anika Learoyd, Georgia Voll, Tahlia Wilson, Phoebe Litchfield, Samantha Bates, Hasrat Gill, Laura May Harris, Shabnim Ismail, Lucy Finn, Emily Arlott
PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
Weather Conditions
Pacers get some help with bounce and carry during the first few overs at Junction Oval because the surface is hard at the start. After batters get their timing right, the fast outfield lets them score freely by hitting through gaps and using the open areas. The pitch eases up as the game goes on, and spinners don't cause much trouble, though bowlers who vary their pace and length smartly can still build pressure.
The weather in Melbourne on match day looks breezy with clouds hanging around all day, including a quick shower or two in the morning, then more rain in the afternoon, which might cut the game short.
MLSW vs STW Pitch Report
Of the eight matches played at Junction Oval in the 2025 WBBL, the highest score so far has been Melbourne Stars Women’s 184-5. Mostly, though, the average score has revolved around the 140-150 mark.
Toss: To Bowl
In each of the last six games played at Junction Oval in this WBBL, the team winning the toss has opted to bowl first. The pattern is likely to continue for this game as well.
MLSW vs STW
Winning Prediction
Despite coming into this game with two losses on the bounce, Melbourne Stars Women can draw confidence from how well they performed overall, taking the second spot with 11 points. They already have one foot into the next round, and a win here will seal that place. Sydney Thunder Women, meanwhile, are already eliminated and will only be looking to end their season on a high. They are still a strong side and can’t be taken lightly, but the overall squad depth makes the Stars the more reliable picks for the winners of this match.
Melbourne Stars Women are our picks for the winners of this clash.
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