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Nepal vs Italy, ICC WCT20 2026, Today Match Prediction
NEP vs ITA Win Probability
Toss Winner - Italy won the toss and choose to bowl first
Italy Won by 10 wickets
Can Nepal’s momentum and all-round quality power them to a comfortable win over Italy?
- Italy’s Crishan Kalugamage has 11 wickets in the last year.
- Nepal batter Kushal Bhurtel scored 302 runs at a strike rate of 129.61 in 11 T20I matches in 2025.
- In the last 10 T20 matches at the Wankhede Stadium, 8 times the chasing team has won.
Nepal to win against Italy
| Tournament: | ICC Men's T20 World Cup, 2026 |
| Format: | t20 |
| Venue: | Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai City, India |
| Toss Prediction: | To Bowl |
| Weather: | 32.3°C|Overcast |
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NEP vs ITA Live Prediction
NEP vs ITA Match Prediction & Analysis
Nepal is set to take on Italy in match number 17 of the ICC T20 World Cup 2026. The match will be played at the iconic Wankhede Stadium in Mumbai on Thursday, February 12, at 3 p.m. local time.
Both teams are placed in Group C and suffered a defeat in their respective games. Nepal almost produced the most shocking result of the tournament, as they almost beat 2010 champions England but eventually lost by just 4 runs.
Italy, on the other hand, tasted the vibe and energy of the T20 World Cup for the first time as they suffered a heavy defeat by 73 runs in their opening match against a fellow European country, Scotland.
Both teams will strive to enhance their performance. While Nepal would be hoping to bag all 2 points in this game, Italy would be hoping to build confidence and potentially beat the Rhinos.
NEP vs ITA Betting News
Nepal vs Italy, 17th T20 Match, Men's T20 World Cup 2026 Special Bets
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RECENT PERFORMANCE
NEP
L
W
L
W
W
NEP
148/3 in 17.0 8.71
ICCWCWARMUP
Nepal beat United Arab Emirates by 7 wickets145/6 in 20.0 7.25
ITA
L
W
W
L
L
ITA
146/6 in 20.0 7.3
ICCWCWARMUP
Italy beat Canada by 10 runs
156/4 in 20.0 7.8
119/7 in 19.3 6.1
IRE vs ITA 2026
Ireland beat Italy by 3 wickets
118/10 in 18.1 6.5
HEAD TO HEAD
Last 0 Matches
TEAMS PREVIEW
Nepal Preview
Nepal would be proud of their efforts in their opening match of the tournament as they took England to the edges and almost pulled the most shocking result of the T20 World Cup. Nepal were chasing 185 runs and needed 8 runs off the last 3 balls but eventually fell short by 4 runs.
Chasing a 185-run target, Kushal Bhurtel and Rohit Paudel, Nepal’s two main batters, gave Nepal the early push. Bhurtel scored 29 runs off 17 balls, while captain Paudel scored 39 runs off 34 balls to add control to their innings.
Both Paudel and Dipendra Singh Airee added an 82-run partnership for the 3rd wicket, which proved pivotal in the middle order. Airee scored 44 runs off 29 balls at a strike rate of 151.72. He is one of the most important players in the Nepal squad with 2000 runs and 60 wickets in 91 T20I matches.
Lokesh Bam, who is known for his aggressive batting with a career strike rate of 153, lower down the order gave the final push, scoring a fiery 39 runs off 29 balls at a strike rate of 195.00; however, he lacked the adequate help alongside him, which eventually cost Nepal the historic win.
They have some very talented bowlers in their line-up that troubled England in the opening match. Dipendra Singh Airee and Nandan Yadav were the two most outstanding bowlers against the Three Lions, taking 2 wickets each.
They have mystery spinner Sandeep Lamichhane, who can weave his magic on spin-friendly tracks in India. Although he bagged only 1 wicket vs England, he has 130 wickets in 69 T20I matches in his career. They also have the options of Karan KC and Sompal Kami, who add to their all-rounders' depth in the squad and who are very good with the bat and ball.
NEP Over/Under Betting Tips
Kushal Bhurtel Total Runs Over 19.5 @ 1.85
Bhurtel took the attack to the England bowlers in their first match of the tournament, where he smashed Jofra Archer with ease and scored 29 runs off 17 balls, striking at 170.59. He is an excellent player of pace, having scored 1,836 runs in 71 matches with an average of 29.14 over his T20I career. Furthermore, in his last five T20Is, he scored over 19 runs in three of those matches. We back him to continue his good run of form against Italy and score over 19 runs.
Rohit Paudel Total Runs Over 22.5 @ 1.85
The skipper of Nepal played a key role in Nepal's fight against England on Sunday, where he scored 39 runs in 34 balls but couldn't steer his team over the line. He is one of the key batters in the Nepal lineup who can bat through the innings and scores runs with consistency, given his current run of form, we back Paudel to score over 22 runs in today's match against Italy.
Nepal Predicted Playing XI:
Kushal Bhurtel, Aarif Sheikh, Rohit Paudel (C), Dipendra Singh Airee, Aasif Sheikh (WK), Lokesh Bam, Karan KC, Sompal Kami, Nandan Yadav, Sandeep Lamichhane, Sher Malla.
Nepal Key Players From Previous Game Of ICC Men's T20 World Cup, 2026
Nepal Actual Playing XI:
Kushal Bhurtel, Rohit Paudel, Dipendra Singh Airee, Aarif Sheikh, Karan KC, Nandan Yadav, Aasif Sheikh, Lokesh Bam, Gulsan Jha, Lalit Rajbanshi, Sandeep Lamichhane
Italy Preview
Italy tasted their first experience of the T20 World Cup and suffered a 73-run defeat in their debut game against Scotland. The Italian side were bowled out for 134 runs while in pursuit of a 208-run target.
South Africa-born batter JJ Smuts top-scored with a quick 22 runs off 11 balls at a strike rate of 200. The Manenti brothers, Ben Manenti (scored 52 runs off 31 balls) and Harry Manenti (scored 37 runs off 25 balls), held the middle order together.
But it wasn't to be for Italy, as the lower order failed to deliver performance. The likes of Grant Stewart, Gian-Piero Meade, and Crishan Kalugamage all failed with the bat, which eventually resulted in a big margin defeat against the Scots.
On the bowling side, Ali Hasan, Thomas Draca, JJ Smuts, and Grant Stewart each took 1 wicket. Grant Stewart showed form pre-tournament with 6 wickets in 3 games against Ireland, while Crishan Kalugamage has 11 wickets in the past year for Italy. The attack has potential; execution will be key for the Azzurri.
ITA Over/Under Betting Tips
JJ Smuts Total Runs Over 19.5 @ 1.85
Playing in his first-ever World Cup match for Italy, JJ Smuts played a quick-fire knock of 22 runs off 11 balls before mistiming a shot to the short cover fielder. Smuts is a highly experienced player who has appeared in well over 100 T20s and more than 10 T20Is for South Africa in the past. He knows how to handle pressure well and is a key batter for Italy at the top of the order. We back Smuts to make an impact with the bat against a spirited Nepal side and score over 19 runs.
Harry Manenti Total Runs Over 16.5 @ 1.85
In his first-ever World Cup match, Harry Manenti made a huge impact with the bat for Italy, scoring 37 runs off 25 balls against Scotland. He gave Italy some hope, but his dismissal at a crucial moment ultimately cost Italy the match. He has recorded scores of 37, 10, 5, 20, and 37 runs in his last five T20Is and is in good form heading into this contest against Nepal. We predict Manenti will score over 16 runs in today's match on a batting-friendly track at the Wankhede Stadium.
Italy Predicted Playing XI:
Justin Mosca, Anthony Mosca, JJ Smuts, Harry Manenti, Ben Manenti, Wayne Madsen, Grant Stewart, Gian-Piero Meade, Crishan Kalugamage, Thomas Draca, and Ali Hasan.
Italy Key Players From Previous Game Of ICC Men's T20 World Cup, 2026
Italy Actual Playing XI:
Hasan Ali, Justin Mosca, Anthony Mosca, JJ Smuts, Harry Manenti, Marcus Campopiano, Grant Stewart, Jaspreet Singh, Crishan Kalugamage, Gian Meade, Benjamin Manenti
PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
Weather Conditions
Mumbai in mid-February is perfect for cricket. It will be slightly warm with temperatures around 29-27°C; mostly there will be clear skies, low humidity in the evening, and almost zero chance of rain.
NEP vs ITA Pitch Report
Pitch Condition
BattingBatting Conditions
High ScoringPace Bowling
Pace BounceSpin Bowling
Average Turn
Wankhede is a batter's paradise. Short boundaries, true bounce, and a lightning-fast outfield usually mean high-scoring games. In T20s here, totals around 180-200 are par, and 220+ isn't out of the question. Pacers get a bit of help early, but once the ball gets older, spinners come into play.
There have been two matches played here in the 2026 T20 World Cup. The first match, India vs USA, saw the pitch favouring the spinners, but it was back to its usual self for the England vs Nepal game.
The first innings average score here is 193. Team India scored the highest score at the venue, 247 runs vs England, who in turn scored the lowest score, 97 runs, in the same match. 230 is the highest total chased at the venue, while 161 is the lowest total defended.
Total Over/Under Betting Tips
Nepal to win the coin toss @ 1.90
We back Nepal to win the coin toss in match 17 of the ICC Men's T20 World Cup 2026 against Italy at Wankhede Stadium in Mumbai.
Toss: To Bowl
The captain who wins the toss might opt to bowl first. It is typically a flat surface that remains the same throughout the game. Bowling first and trying to restrict the opposition to a below-par score, then later chasing with the total on the board. In international cricket, 6 matches have been won by the side batting first and 5 matches by the side bowling first. In domestic T20s, it's a different story, with the chasing side having won 68 of 125 times.
NEP vs ITA
Winning Prediction
Nepal enter this competition as the favourite to win this match based on stats and momentum. Their near-upset against England shows they can be really great on their days. They have a very good squad with the likes of Kushal Bhurtel, Rohit Paudel, and Dipendra Singh Airee in good form. Batting depth and quality all-round brilliance are the highlights of the Nepal side. Sandeep Lamichhane can be a threat too with his spin bowling. Italy showed fight with JJ Smuts and the Manenti brothers performing well, but their heavy defeat shows they still have lots of areas to fix. So back Nepal to win this match.
Nepal to win against Italy
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