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Pakistan vs Australia, AUS vs PAK 2026, Today Match Prediction
PAK vs AUS Win Probability
Toss Winner - Pakistan won the toss and choose to bat first
Pakistan beat Australia by 111 runs
This game will be won or lost based on how Australia’s batters manage to negotiate the spin and slowness of the surface against Pakistan.
- A score of around 165 will be challenging to chase down at the Gaddafi Stadium.
- If Australia have to win, Adam Zampa, Travis Head, and Mitchell Marsh are the names that would need to step up.
- Pakistan’s success here will be decided by the performances of Sahibzada Farhan, Saim Ayub, and Abrar Ahmed.
Pakistan are our picks for the winners of the third T20I.
| Tournament: | Australia tour of Pakistan, 2026 |
| Format: | t20 |
| Venue: | Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore Cantt, Pakistan |
| Toss Prediction: | To Bat |
| Weather: | 19.3°C|Overcast |
PAK vs AUS Match Prediction & Analysis
The third and final T20I between Pakistan and Australia is being played in Lahore. Pakistan are already 2-0 up, so a win here would give them a clean sweep. Australia will want to finish the series with a win, but they're missing a few of their main players. That, combined with the slow, spin-friendly pitches, has made life harder for the visitors, and Pakistan are hence the clear favorites to take this one too.
PAK vs AUS Betting News
Pakistan vs Australia, 3rd T20i Match, Special Bets
Bet on the Pakistan vs Australia, 3rd T20i Match, with our special bet offers. Expert analysis for PAK vs AUS, betting today.
RECENT PERFORMANCE
PAK
W
W
L
W
W
PAK
160/6 in 12.0 13.33
PAK vs SL 2025
Sri Lanka beat Pakistan by 14 runs (D/L) method146/8 in 12.0 12.17
118/4 in 18.4 6.32
PAK T20 TRIS 2025
Pakistan beat Sri Lanka by 6 wickets114/10 in 19.1 5.95
AUS
L
L
L
L
W
AUS
HEAD TO HEAD
Last 5 Matches
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TEAMS PREVIEW
Pakistan Preview
Pakistan have dominated this revamped Australian lineup, winning back-to-back matches to seal the series comfortably. They're functioning as a cohesive unit and will be confident about sweeping the series 3-0 on their home turf.
The top three batsmen—Sahibzada Farhan, Saim Ayub, and Salman Agha—are all batting well right now. Saim was the standout among them in the opening game, scoring a superb 40 from 22 deliveries. Salman then took over in the second match with a game-changing 76 off 40 balls.
Sahibzada can also attack aggressively right from the start—he'll be looking to score 30 or more runs at a strike rate exceeding 130.
Fakhar Zaman and Babar Azam provide stability in the middle order, bringing control and building the total as the innings progresses. Shadab Khan and Mohammad Nawaz handle the finishing duties, going after the bowlers in the final overs with power-hitting and clean striking.
Pakistan's spin attack has inflicted most of the damage in their two wins, claiming 16 of the 18 Australian wickets that fell. Saim Ayub bowls during the powerplay and has a knack for getting important breakthroughs.
Once the middle overs begin, Abrar Ahmed, Nawaz, and Shadab take center stage as their different deliveries have troubled the relatively inexperienced Australian batsmen who haven't regularly encountered high-quality spin.
PAK Over/Under Betting Tips
Salman Ali Agha Total Runs Over 20.5 1.85
The skipper of Pakistan has played two match winning knocks scoring 76, 39 in the series so far. The change in his technique and approach has made an huge impact in the middle overs for Pakistan this series. With him in good scoring form this series expect another good knock from Agha and we predict his score to be over 20 runs.
Saim Ayub Total Runs Over 20.5 1.85
Saim Ayub has scores of 23 and 40 in the last two matches played in the series. He has shown signs of returning to form this series and we back him to continue his good run of form and score over 20 runs in today's match.
Pakistan Predicted Playing XI:
Sahibzada Farhan, Saim Ayub, Salman Agha(c), Babar Azam, Usman Khan(w), Mohammad Nawaz, Shadab Khan, Faheem Ashraf, Abrar Ahmed, Naseem Shah, Usman Tariq
Pakistan Key Players From Previous Game Of Australia tour of Pakistan, 2026
Pakistan Actual Playing XI:
Agha Salman, Faheem Ashraf, Shadab Khan, Shaheen Afridi, Abrar Ahmad, Naseem Shah, Saim Ayub, Khawaja Nafay, Fakhar Zaman, Mohammad Nawaz, Babar Azam
Australia Preview
Australia's batters have struggled to cope with these slower pitches, and that's been the biggest factor behind both defeats. But they won't run into that same issue in the third game.
Players like Travis Head, Mitchell Marsh, and Josh Inglis bring plenty of experience, while Matthew Short and Mitch Owen are still finding their feet—but Pakistan's spinners have troubled all of them.
Marsh and Head usually attack bowlers right from the opening over, and they'll want to do exactly that during the powerplay before the spinners tighten things up through the middle period. Short offers some stability once he's at the crease, while Inglis and Cameron Green have the power to hit over the rope in the death overs.
Marcus Stoinis has been left out of the first two games, but there's a chance he gets picked for this decider to add depth to Australia's batting lineup—he can smash sixes late in the innings and chip in with a few overs of pace bowling if needed.
As for the bowling, Xavier Bartlett and Cooper Connolly are expected to open the attack once more after doing a solid job up front, taking four wickets together.
Beyond them, Mahli Beardman and Adam Zampa have taken seven scalps between them and will have big roles to play again. Zampa is Australia's go-to spinner, and if he can keep the runs down during the middle period, Australia should have things under control.
Australia Predicted Playing XI:
Matthew Short, Travis Head, Mitchell Marsh(c), Cameron Green, Josh Inglis(w), Matt Renshaw, Cooper Connolly, Xavier Bartlett, Sean Abbott, Matthew Kuhnemann, Adam Zampa
Australia Key Players From Previous Game Of Australia tour of Pakistan, 2026
Australia Actual Playing XI:
Josh Philippe, Matt Renshaw, Matthew Short, Mitchell Marsh, Cooper Connolly, Cameron Green, Mitchell Owen, Marcus Stoinis, Ben Dwarshuis, Matthew Kuhnemann, Adam Zampa
PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
Weather Conditions
Gaddafi Stadium’s pitch favors spinners, with the ball gripping and holding off the surface. Batters playing straight tend to succeed more than those trying to cut or pull. Fast bowlers need to mix their pace—sheer speed won’t compensate for poor line or length. As the game progresses, spinners will dominate, making scoring difficult.
The weather will stay cool and comfortable throughout.
PAK vs AUS Pitch Report
Pitch Condition
BattingBatting Conditions
High ScoringPace Bowling
Pace BounceSpin Bowling
Average Turn
The average first-innings score at Gaddafi Stadium is around 171. But for this game, 160 or thereabouts could be a winning total as the pitch is inconsistent and will slow down, making run-scoring tougher in the second innings.
Total Over/Under Betting Tips
Pakistan to win the coin toss 1.90
We back Pakistan to win the coin toss in today's match against Australia.
Toss: To Bat
At Gaddafi Stadium, the team winning the toss is expected to bat first, as the conditions make chasing more challenging in the second half.
PAK vs AUS
Winning Prediction
Australia will be hoping to finish the series with a win after the series is already lost, but that's easier said than done. Pakistan have been very tough to beat at home, and Australia's batsmen haven't had much time to get used to how the ball behaves on these slow surfaces. Australia should come out with more fight this time, but Pakistan go into this game as favorites because of how well they've been playing, their experience on home soil, and their well-rounded team. The way Australia's batters handle Pakistan's spinners on a turning track will probably decide who wins this match.
Pakistan are our picks for the winners of the third T20I.
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