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Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Stars, BBLT20, Today Match Prediction 23 December 2025
ADS vs MLS Win Probability
Toss Winner - Melbourne Stars won the toss and choose to bowl first
Melbourne Stars beat Adelaide Strikers by 6 wickets
Adelaide Strikers have struggled against Melbourne Stars lately, losing three out of their last five games when these two teams have faced each other in the BBL.
- A score of around 165-170 will be competitive at the Adelaide Oval.
- Adelaide Strikers will depend on Matt Short, Chris Lynn, and Liam Scott to make an impact.
- For Melbourne Stars, the key players are Campbell Kellaway, Marcus Stoinis, and Haris Rauf.
We are backing Melbourne Stars as the winners of this game.
| Tournament: | Big Bash League, 2025-2026 |
| Format: | t20 |
| Venue: | Adelaide Oval, North Adelaide, Australia |
| Toss Prediction: | To Bowl |
| Weather: | 20.2°C|Sunny |
ADS vs MLS Live Prediction
ADS vs MLS Match Prediction & Analysis
Adelaide Strikers take on Melbourne Stars in the 10th match of the current Big Bash League. The Strikers went down in their first game and will be eager to respond with a better performance here. The Stars, however, have kicked off their new season well with a commanding victory. It's early in the tournament, but momentum is with the Stars heading into this contest.
ADS vs MLS Betting News
Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Stars, 10th T20 Match, BBL 2025-26 Special Bets
Bet on the Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Stars, 10th T20 Match, BBL 2025-26, with our special bet offers. Expert analysis for the Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Stars, betting today.
Melbourne Stars BBL Records at Adelaide Oval
Adelaide Oval has been a challenging venue for Melbourne Stars in the Big Bash League where they won 3 and lost 8 of the 11 matches played.
Adelaide Strikers BBL Records at Adelaide Oval
Adelaide Oval has been a happy hunting ground for the Adelaide Strikers in the Big Bash League (BBL), where they won more than 50% of the matches with 43 win sin 77 matches.
RECENT PERFORMANCE
ADS
W
L
L
W
L
ADS
159/9 in 20.0 7.95
160/7 in 19.2 8.28
163/5 in 16.2 9.98
161/10 in 19.1 8.4
182/5 in 20.0 9.1
183/7 in 19.5 9.23
187/5 in 18.4 10.02
186/5 in 20.0 9.3
MLS
W
L
W
W
W
MLS
159/2 in 16.0 9.94
158/9 in 20.0 7.9
135/7 in 19.0 7.11
114/10 in 18.0 6.33
219/5 in 20.0 10.95
179/10 in 19.3 9.18
123/10 in 19.5 6.2
165/10 in 20.0 8.25
HEAD TO HEAD
Last 4 Matches
Show More Show Less
109/1 in 14.3
BBL T20 2022
Melbourne Stars won by 9 wkts
108/10 in 19.2
178/5 in 20.0
BBL T20 2022
Melbourne Stars won by 8 runs
186/7 in 20.0
TEAMS PREVIEW
Adelaide Strikers Preview
Adelaide Strikers opened their season on the wrong note, falling to Sydney Sixers by three wickets in the opening match. The defeat was a setback, but the focus now shifts toward resetting quickly ahead of the next fixture.
Their batting plan is built around aggression, with Matt Short at the centre of it. Short passed the 500 run mark across T20 competitions this year while scoring at 170, and his presence dictates how competitive the Strikers can be across the tournament.
Chris Lynn is set to partner him at the top following an impressive Vitality Blast run in mid-2025, where he collected 222 runs from four innings at 198.2. He has also spent time in T10 cricket of late, striking close to 220.
Jason Sangha strengthens the top four and struck above 185 during the Powerplay in the last BBL season, adding early intent.
The middle overs are handled by Alex Ross, who scored at 141 last season, alongside Liam Scott, who led the scoring in the previous game with an excellent 51 off 32.
Jamie Overton and local quick Henry Thornton offer wicket-taking options, while overseas seamer Hasan Ali is expected to fix Powerplay concerns after claiming 24 wickets at a 9.5 strike rate in that phase across T20 leagues this year. Luke Wood adds another seam option. Lloyd Pope, taking two wickets in the opener, provides off-spin depth
AS Over/Under Betting Tips
Matthew Short Total Runs Over 24.5 1.85
Matthew Short scored 15 runs in 11 balls in the last match against the Sixers. Returning to the Adelaide Oval, where he has had much success in his BBL career where he smashed 1217 runs in 36 matches, averaging 39.26 and striking at 150.62. While against the Stars he hasn't fared well averaging 18 and scoring 180 runs in 10 matches. You can say it's a 50-50 bet, but the kind of form he is in at the moment and his ominous record at the Oval, we back Short to score over 24 runs in today's fixture.
Adelaide Strikers Predicted Playing XI:
Matthew Short(c), Chris Lynn, Jason Sangha, Liam Scott, Alex Ross, Jamie Overton, Harry Nielsen(w), Luke Wood, Hasan Ali, Henry Thornton, Lloyd Pope
Adelaide Strikers Key Players From Previous Game Of Big Bash League, 2025-2026
Adelaide Strikers Actual Playing XI:
Chris Lynn, Alex Ross, Jason Sangha, Matthew Short, Liam Scott, Jamie Overton, Harry Nielsen, Hasan Ali, Lloyd Pope, Henry Thornton, Jerrssis Wadia
Melbourne Stars Preview
Coming off a productive year, the Stars wasted no time, cruising to an eight-wicket success over reigning titleholders Hobart Hurricanes in their season opener. That dominant display set expectations early and should boost belief going ahead quickly.
Up top, Thomas Fraser Rogers, Joe Clarke, and Campbell Kellaway form a combination capable of posting 30-plus returns at around a 130 strike rate regularly.
The core of the batting sits in the middle, where Glenn Maxwell, Marcus Stoinis, and Sam Harper handle responsibility, supported by Tom Curran and Hilton Cartwright. Stoinis underlined his value last match, blasting an unbeaten 62 off 31 as the Stars overhauled a 159 target inside 16 overs, applying pressure late and finishing decisively without fuss once momentum shifted their way fully then.
The pace department will be directed by Haris Rauf alongside veteran Peter Siddle, who combined for five wickets first time out. Introducing Mitch Swepson adds spin variety, as he works to slow scoring and find openings, while Curran and Maxwell can chip in through tight spells that often remove leading batters during tense phases across the innings.
Melbourne Stars Predicted Playing XI:
Thomas Fraser Rogers, Joe Clarke, Campbell Kellaway, Glenn Maxwell, Sam Harper(w), Marcus Stoinis(c), Hilton Cartwright, Tom Curran, Mitchell Swepson, Haris Rauf, Peter Siddle
Melbourne Stars Key Players From Previous Game Of Big Bash League, 2025-2026
Melbourne Stars Actual Playing XI:
Thomas Fraser Rogers, Hilton Cartwright, Campbell Kellaway, Glenn Maxwell, Marcus Stoinis, Tom Curran, Joe Clarke, Sam Harper, Haris Rauf, Peter Siddle, Mitchell Swepson
PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
Weather Conditions
Large square boundaries shape scoring patterns at Adelaide Oval, pushing batters to target straight areas. The surface usually stays even paced, so mishits can carry if the outfield stays quick. Bowlers who use cutters and wide lines tend to limit damage. Dew is rarely heavy here, keeping defending totals realistic.
The weather will be nice and clear throughout the game.
ADS vs MLS Pitch Report
Pitch Condition
BattingBatting Conditions
High ScoringPace Bowling
SwingSpin Bowling
Average Turn
Scores around 165 to 180 at Adelaide Oval often keep both sides in the contest till the final overs.
Total Over/Under Betting Tips
Total Match Score Over 340.5 1.90
The average total match score in T20s played at Adelaide Oval is around 315-320 runs. While the average total match score the last two times these teams met at this venue is 366 runs. The Stars and Strikers both boast a power packed batting lineup and as it is the first match of the season at this venue expect a good, flat batting track and high scoring game is on the cards, where we predict the total match score to be over 340.5
Adelaide Strikers to win the coin toss 1.90
We back Adelaide Strikers to win the coin toss in match 10 of the Big Bash League against the Melbourne Stars at Adelaide Oval.
Toss: To Bowl
Teams usually prefer to chase in night T20 games these days, so we expect the toss-winning skipper to field first in this clash.
ADS vs MLS
Winning Prediction
Adelaide Strikers will want to recover quickly after going down in their first match. That said, they face Melbourne Stars next, who just recorded a comprehensive victory and appear to be in strong form. The tournament is only just beginning, and sides need time to hit their stride, but if you look at the squads and current momentum, the Stars seem more equipped to claim this one.
We are backing Melbourne Stars as the winners of this game.
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