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Melbourne Stars vs Hobart Hurricanes, BBLT20, Today Match Prediction 18 December 2025
MLS vs HBH Win Probability
Toss Winner - Melbourne Stars won the toss and choose to bowl first
Melbourne Stars beat Hobart Hurricanes by 8 wickets
Melbourne Stars have had the upper hand over Hobart Hurricanes in recent matchups, winning three of their last five encounters.
- A score of around 165-170 will be competitive at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
- Hobart Hurricanes will depend on Mitch Owen, Tim David, and Riley Meredith to make an impact.
- For Melbourne Stars, the key players are Joe Clarke, Marcus Stoinis, and Haris Rauf.
We are backing Hobart Hurricanes as the winners of this match.
| Tournament: | Big Bash League, 2025-2026 |
| Format: | t20 |
| Venue: | Melbourne Cricket Ground, Richmond, Australia |
| Toss Prediction: | To Bowl |
| Weather: | 32.3°C|Sunny |
MLS vs HBH Live Prediction
MLS vs HBH Match Prediction & Analysis
The Big Bash League is back for another season, and the fifth match brings Melbourne Stars up against Hobart Hurricanes at the MCG. Hobart, who claimed the title last year, have already won their first game, whereas the Stars are chasing a strong beginning to this campaign after their impressive run in the previous edition. This one should deliver plenty of entertainment.
MLS vs HBH Betting News
Melbourne Stars BBL Record at Melbourne Cricket Ground (MCG)
Melbourne Stars has a decent record at their home ground - Melbourne Cricket Ground (MCG) in the BBL where they won 36 and lost 31 of the 68 matches played.
Hobart Hurricanes BBL Records at Melbourne Cricket Ground (MCG)
Hobart Hurricanes has had the most challenging times while playing at MCG in the BBL where they won 5 and lost 10 of the 15 matches played at this venue
Melbourne Stars vs Hobart Hurricanes, 5th T20 Match, BBL 2025-26 Special Bets
Bet on the Melbourne Stars vs Hobart Hurricanes, 5th T20 Match, BBL 2025-26, with our special bet offers. Expert analysis for the Melbourne Stars vs Hobart Hurricanes, betting today.
RECENT PERFORMANCE
MLS
L
W
W
W
W
MLS
135/7 in 19.0 7.11
114/10 in 18.0 6.33
219/5 in 20.0 10.95
179/10 in 19.3 9.18
123/10 in 19.5 6.2
165/10 in 20.0 8.25
171/5 in 19.4 8.69
168/7 in 20.0 8.4
HBH
W
L
L
L
W
HBH
181/6 in 19.5 9.13
180/6 in 20.0 9
128/6 in 16.3 7.76
125/10 in 16.1 7.73
HEAD TO HEAD
Last 4 Matches
Show More Show Less
155/10 in 19.4
67/3 in 6.3
133/8 in 17.4
BBL T20 2022
Hobart Hurricanes won by 2 wickets
131/7 in 20.0
TEAMS PREVIEW
Melbourne Stars Preview
After a good season last year, the Stars have refreshed their list through targeted recruitment as they chase a first BBL crown. There is little reason to expect a major tactical overhaul, particularly after a strong close to BBL|14 that carried them into the finals phase.
The top three looks unsettled following the departures of Ben Duckett and Beau Webster, but the arrival of English wicketkeeper batter Joe Clarke signals a clear plan at the top. His opening partner remains undecided, with Tom Rogers, Campbell Kellaway, and Sam Harper all under consideration. Harper’s strong One Day Cup returns may earn him another opportunity, while Kellaway’s exposure to top-order roles for Victoria in fifty-over cricket adds another option after recent red-ball success.
Beyond that, the middle order appears set, with Glenn Maxwell, Marcus Stoinis, and Hilton Cartwright forming the core, followed by all-rounder Tom Curran. Fitness concerns lingered last season, but Maxwell rolled his arm over in five of nine matches, while Stoinis bowled in nine of eleven and collected five wickets from 25 overs.
Haris Rauf was retained despite interest from Adelaide and will head the pace unit alongside veteran Peter Siddle and Liam Hatcher, who arrives off strong red-ball form. The addition of spinner Mitch Swepson gives the Stars another angle, with hopes he can contain scoring and find breakthroughs across the wide spaces of the MCG.
MS Over/Under Betting Tips
Marcus Stoinis Total Runs Over 21.5 1.85
Marcus Stoinis has always been a standout performer at the MCG, where over the years he has been a consistent match-winner and has produced some truly outrageous, phenomenal knocks. He has scored 1,210 runs in 45 matches at the venue, averaging 34.57. Against the Hobart Hurricanes at the MCG, Stoinis has been equally effective, piling up 183 runs in seven matches at an impressive average of 36.60.
Melbourne Stars Predicted Playing XI:
Joe Clarke (wk), Campbell Kellaway, Sam Harper, Glenn Maxwell, Marcus Stoinis (c), Hilton Cartwright, Tom Curran, Liam Hatcher, Haris Rauf, Mitch Swepson, Peter Siddle
Melbourne Stars Actual Playing XI:
Thomas Fraser Rogers, Hilton Cartwright, Campbell Kellaway, Glenn Maxwell, Marcus Stoinis, Tom Curran, Joe Clarke, Sam Harper, Haris Rauf, Peter Siddle, Mitchell Swepson
Hobart Hurricanes Preview
Hobart Hurricanes opened their BBL|15 campaign with a confident four-wicket win over Sydney Thunder, chasing down 181 in the final over of the match. That success came at home, but the defending champions now head to Melbourne as they look to carry that form into a tougher away assignment.
The batting setup combines depth with intent. Mitch Owen was outstanding last season, ending as the top run scorer with 452 runs from 11 matches at a strike rate of 203, and he has carried that form forward with a rapid 32 from 14 balls in the opener. Nikhil Chaudhary complements him well at the top and showed his value straight away through a fluent 41 from 31.
Ben McDermott and Matthew Wade provide momentum through the middle overs, able to rotate strike or target the stands when opportunities appear, while Tim David adds heavy-hitting power with his ability to operate at an over 150+ strike rate. That flexibility allows Hobart to build firm bases before shifting gears late in the innings.
The bowling options mirror that adaptability. Riley Meredith and Billy Stanlake, who returned figures of 3-34 in the first match, bring pace and bounce to challenge batters early. Chris Jordan and Nathan Ellis handle the closing overs well, blending wicket-taking threats with control under pressure.
For spin duties, Rishad Hossain offers wrist spin that can unsettle batters unused to consistent turn. This blend gives Hobart room to tailor plans depending on conditions and opposition strengths.
HH Over/Under Betting Tips
Nikhil Chaudhary Total Runs Over 16.5 1.85
Nikhil Chaudhary has earned a major promotion this season, opening the batting, and he has made a strong start. He scored 41 runs off 31 balls, finishing the match as the leading run-scorer and playing a key role in helping the Hurricanes chase down a challenging target of 180 runs. A naturally calculative batter, Chaudhary has been pushed up the order to anchor the innings. He also has a decent record against the Stars, scoring 64 runs in three matches at an average of 21.3. Expect another impactful knock from him, making him a solid prop pick to score over 16 runs in today’s match.
Hobart Hurricanes Predicted Playing XI:
Mitchell Owen, Nikhil Chaudhary, Rehan Ahmed, Ben McDermott, Tim David, Matthew Wade(w), Chris Jordan, Nathan Ellis(c), Rishad Hossain, Riley Meredith, Billy Stanlake
Hobart Hurricanes Key Players From Previous Game Of Big Bash League, 2025-2026
Hobart Hurricanes Actual Playing XI:
Tim David, Mitchell Owen, Rehan Ahmed, Nikhil Chaudhary, Nathan Ellis, Chris Jordan, Riley Meredith, Billy Stanlake, Matthew Wade, Ben McDermott, Rishad Hossain
PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
Weather Conditions
Early overs at the Melbourne Cricket Ground can test batters as the hard deck and size of the field make it worth watching how teams pace their innings, and the large square boundaries generally make clearing the rope harder than at smaller venues. Mid-innings often see tighter bowling as teams look to apply pressure. Spinners rarely change the game but can pick up a breakthrough.
The weather in Melbourne will be hot and humid, but thankfully, there’s no rain in sight.
MLS vs HBH Pitch Report
Pitch Condition
BalancedBatting Conditions
Moderate ScoringPace Bowling
SwingSpin Bowling
Minimal Turn
The average first innings in T20s at the Melbourne Cricket Ground hovers around the mid-150s to 160s. For this fixture, a score of around 170 will challenge the chasing side.
Total Over/Under Betting Tips
Melbourne Stars to win the coin toss 1.90
We are backing the Melbourne Stars to win the coin toss against the Hobart Hurricanes in match five of the big bash league 2025 season at MCG
Toss: To Bowl
Chasing totals has worked out well in past T20s here, so expect the toss-winning captain to bowl first here.
MLS vs HBH
Winning Prediction
Hobart Hurricanes look primed for another successful season after their convincing victory in their first match. Next up is Melbourne Stars, a team they've clashed with repeatedly over the last two years in some heated contests. The Stars have quality throughout their lineup and can't be taken lightly, but the Hurricanes possess superior depth across all departments, which tilts this one in their favor.
We are backing Hobart Hurricanes as the winners of this match.
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