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Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades, BBLT20, Today Match Prediction 29 December 2025
HBH vs MLR Win Probability
Toss Winner - Hobart Hurricanes won the toss and choose to bowl first
Hobart Hurricanes won by 4 wickets
In their previous matchup this season, Hobart Hurricanes beat Melbourne Renegades comfortably by seven wickets.
- A score of around 165-170 will be competitive at Bellerive Oval.
- Hobart Hurricanes will depend on Nikhil Chaudhary, Ben McDermott, and Riley Meredith to make an impact.
- For Melbourne Renegades, the key players are Tim Seifert, Oliver Peake, and Jason Behrendorff.
We are backing Hobart Hurricanes as the winners of this match.
| Tournament: | Big Bash League, 2025-2026 |
| Format: | t20 |
| Venue: | Bellerive Oval, Hobart, Australia |
| Toss Prediction: | To Bowl |
| Weather: | 23.9°C|Clear |
HBH vs MLR Live Prediction
HBH vs MLR Match Prediction & Analysis
The 15th match of the 2025 Big Bash League has Hobart Hurricanes facing Melbourne Renegades at Bellerive Oval. Hobart, the defending champions, have kicked off this tournament well and hold second place with six points from their first four games. Melbourne Renegades, however, are having trouble building any rhythm and languish at the foot of the ladder with just two points from two appearances. Current form favors the Hurricanes heading into this clash.
HBH vs MLR Betting News
Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades, 15th T20 Match, BBL 2025-26, Special Bets
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RECENT PERFORMANCE
HBH
W
W
L
W
L
HBH
145/9 in 20.0 7.25
149/3 in 13.5 10.77
159/2 in 16.0 9.94
158/9 in 20.0 7.9
181/6 in 19.5 9.13
180/6 in 20.0 9
128/6 in 16.3 7.76
125/10 in 16.1 7.73
MLR
L
W
W
L
L
MLR
145/9 in 20.0 7.25
149/3 in 13.5 10.77
199/7 in 18.0 11.06
196/4 in 20.0 9.8
155/6 in 19.4 7.88
154/7 in 20.0 7.7
123/10 in 19.5 6.2
165/10 in 20.0 8.25
HEAD TO HEAD
Last 6 Matches
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164/4 in 18.1
BBL T20 2022
162/8 in 20.0
TEAMS PREVIEW
Hobart Hurricanes Preview
Hobart Hurricanes have begun their BBL|15 season with solid results, picking up three wins and suffering only one defeat. The early signs have been good, and this contest gives them a chance to build up some more momentum.
Their batting unit blends depth with attacking intent. Mitch Owen and Nikhil Chaudhary have been setting the stage at the top, with Chaudhary being in excellent form, contributing 161 runs across four matches at 148.
Ben McDermott, who tops the run charts for Hobart this season with 165 runs from four games, works through the middle alongside Matthew Wade. The big-hitting Tim David’s injury will be a concern, though, and it’s unlikely that we will see him again this season.
The bowling resources reflect similar flexibility. Riley Meredith and Nathan Ellis add pace and bounce up front, with both taking seven wickets combined. Chris Jordan has been excellent as usual and is particularly handy in the final overs, mixing wicket-taking options with calm execution.
Spin responsibility sits with Rishad Hossain, whose wrist spin can trouble batters unfamiliar with sustained turn. This mix gives Hobart scope to adjust plans based on conditions and the opposition.
Hobart Hurricanes Predicted Playing XI:
Mitchell Owen, Tim Ward, Nikhil Chaudhary, Matthew Wade (wk), Ben McDermott, Macalister Wright, Rehan Ahmed, Chris Jordan, Nathan Ellis(c), Rishad Hossain, Riley Meredith
Hobart Hurricanes Key Players From Previous Game Of Big Bash League, 2025-2026
Hobart Hurricanes Actual Playing XI:
Mitchell Owen, Beau Webster, Rehan Ahmed, Nikhil Chaudhary, Nathan Ellis, Chris Jordan, Riley Meredith, Matthew Wade, Ben McDermott, Rishad Hossain, Tim Ward
Melbourne Renegades Preview
Melbourne Renegades are under pressure after a split start, with one win and one defeat pushing them to the bottom of the table. Only two games have been completed so far, meaning there is room to move upward if they can string together positive results in the matches ahead.
Tim Seifert has been the main man at the top, blasting 129 runs across two innings at a strike rate of 177. Another fast start from him would place the Renegades in a healthy position. Oliver Peake has impressed as well, compiling 71 runs in two outings while scoring at 170.
Support around the main contributors has not arrived yet, and that has hurt the side early in the campaign. Mohammad Rizwan, Jake Fraser McGurk, and Will Sutherland have the ability, though urgency is required to regain form.
Jason Behrendorff leads the attack with four wickets from two appearances, going for 9.85 runs per over. Gurinder Sandhu and Sutherland have collected three wickets each, while others have struggled to build sustained pressure on opposing batters. Much will be asked of lead spinner Adam Zampa, whose four overs of spin can cause damage.
MR Over/Under Betting Tips
Tim Seifert Total Runs Over 22.5 1.85
Tim Seifert has scored 136 runs in 2 matches this season. He has scored over 25 runs in the last two matches and given his current run of form, we back him to score over 22 runs in today's match against the Hobart Hurricanes at the Bellerive Oval.
Melbourne Renegades Predicted Playing XI:
Josh Brown, Tim Seifert, Mohammad Rizwan(w), Jake Fraser-McGurk, Oliver Peake, Hassan Khan, Will Sutherland(c), Fergus O Neill, Gurinder Sandhu, Adam Zampa, Jason Behrendorff
Melbourne Renegades Key Players From Previous Game Of Big Bash League, 2025-2026
Melbourne Renegades Actual Playing XI:
Josh Brown, Jake Fraser McGurk, Hassan Khan, Ollie Peake, Will Sutherland, Mohammad Rizwan, Tim Seifert, Jason Behrendorff, Gurinder Sandhu, Adam Zampa, Andrew Tye
PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
Weather Conditions
Batting in the first few overs under lights at Bellerive Oval can cause problems as the pitch takes time to ease up, and wind coming off the Derwent River affects how the ball behaves through the air. Sides that handle the initial four or five overs without too much damage tend to either set or hunt down totals around 160 or higher, with plenty of scores going past 190 in domestic T20 cricket here. Bowlers who mix up their speeds and bowl to their plans through the middle period can limit runs, though batters who settle in usually find boundaries square of the wicket fairly accessible.
Hobart will have warm and clear conditions.
HBH vs MLR Pitch Report
Pitch Condition
BattingBatting Conditions
High ScoringPace Bowling
Pace BounceSpin Bowling
Average Turn
The average first innings in T20s at Bellerive Oval hovers around the mid-150s to 160s. For this fixture, a score of around 170 will challenge the chasing side.
Total Over/Under Betting Tips
Hobart Hurricanes to win the coin toss 1.90
We back the Hobart Hurricanes to win the coin toss in today's match against the Melbourne Renegades.
Toss: To Bowl
Teams prefer to field first at Bellerive Oval in night T20 games these days, so expect the toss-winning captain to make that call in this game.
HBH vs MLR
Winning Prediction
Hobart Hurricanes have performed well this season and will want to keep that momentum going now that they're back at their home venue. The Renegades have enough firepower to cause problems and won't be beaten easily, but playing at home plus having a more balanced side overall gives the Hurricanes the edge in this matchup.
We are backing Hobart Hurricanes as the winners of this match.
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