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Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Thunder, BBLT20, Today Match Prediction 28 December 2025
MLS vs SYT Win Probability
Toss Winner - Melbourne Stars won the toss and choose to bowl first
Melbourne Stars beat Sydney Thunder by 9 wickets
Sydney Thunder have dominated Melbourne Stars in their last few meetings, winning each of the past five games between the two sides.
- The average first innings score at Manuka Oval is 165.
- Melbourne Stars will depend on Sam Harper, Marcus Stoinis, and Haris Rauf to deliver game-changing moments.
- For Sydney Thunder, the key players are Cameron Bancroft, Shadab Khan, and Reece Topley.
Melbourne Stars are our picks for the winners of this game.
| Tournament: | Big Bash League, 2025-2026 |
| Format: | t20 |
| Venue: | Manuka Oval, Griffith, Australia |
| Toss Prediction: | To Bowl |
| Weather: | 24.1°C|Sunny |
MLS vs SYT Live Prediction
MLS vs SYT Match Prediction & Analysis
Melbourne Stars face Sydney Thunder in the 14th match of the current Big Bash League. The Stars have been excellent, claiming first place after winning their first three games in a row. Sydney Thunder, however, have posted inconsistent results up to this point, and require a victory here to climb higher on the table.
MLS vs SYT Betting News
Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Thunder, 14th T20 Match, BBL 2025-26, Special Bets
Bet on the Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Thunder, 14th T20 Match, BBL 2025-26, with our special bet offers. Expert analysis for the Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Thunder, betting today.
RECENT PERFORMANCE
MLS
W
W
W
L
W
MLS
144/10 in 20.0 7.2
145/3 in 17.3 8.29
155/8 in 20.0 7.75
161/4 in 18.1 8.86
159/2 in 16.0 9.94
158/9 in 20.0 7.9
135/7 in 19.0 7.11
114/10 in 18.0 6.33
219/5 in 20.0 10.95
179/10 in 19.3 9.18
SYT
W
L
L
L
W
SYT
181/6 in 19.5 9.13
180/6 in 20.0 9
185/3 in 14.1 13.06
182/7 in 20.0 9.1
HEAD TO HEAD
Last 4 Matches
Show More Show Less
119/7 in 20.0
BBL T20 2022
Sydney Thunder won by 3 wkts
120/7 in 18.5
TEAMS PREVIEW
Melbourne Stars Preview
Melbourne Stars have begun the season on a strong note, banking three straight victories from their opening outings to claim first position early. The challenge now is to keep that drive going and remain positioned within the top two.
At the top of the order, Joe Clarke and Campbell Kellaway offer combinations capable of producing 30-plus contributions around the 130 strike rate mark on a regular basis.
The middle phase is handled by Glenn Maxwell, Marcus Stoinis, and Sam Harper, with Tom Curran and Hilton Cartwright providing depth. Harper has already moved ahead as the side’s main run scorer this season, collecting 165 runs across three games while operating at a strike rate of 172.
Fast bowling duties fall to Haris Rauf and experienced campaigner Peter Siddle, who have shared 13 wickets so far. Mitch Swepson supplies spin control, aiming to limit runs and generate openings, while Curran and Stoinis, who have combined for 12 wickets so far, add tidy spells that frequently remove settled batters during pressure-filled moments throughout the innings.
MS Over/Under Betting Tips
Marcus Stoinis to score over 21.5 1.83
Marcus Stoinis has scores of 32 and 62 in the last two BBL matches played this season. He is in sublime form scoring runs at a hefty strike rate of 177.36. Given his current run of form, this is a valuable bet that you can encash on and we back Stoinis to continue his good run with the bat and score over 21 runs against the Thunder.
Melbourne Stars Predicted Playing XI:
Joe Clarke, Sam Harper(w), Campbell Kellaway, Glenn Maxwell, Marcus Stoinis(c), Hilton Cartwright, Tom Curran, Jonathan Merlo, Mitchell Swepson, Haris Rauf, Peter Siddle
Melbourne Stars Key Players From Previous Game Of Big Bash League, 2025-2026
Melbourne Stars Actual Playing XI:
Thomas Fraser Rogers, Hilton Cartwright, Campbell Kellaway, Glenn Maxwell, Marcus Stoinis, Tom Curran, Joe Clarke, Sam Harper, Haris Rauf, Peter Siddle, Mitchell Swepson
Sydney Thunder Preview
Sydney Thunder have had an uneven campaign, collecting one win alongside two one-sided losses that leave them sitting fifth on the table. There is clear pressure to sort out the loose ends if they want to push higher in the standings.
The batting effort has offered some encouragement. Matthew Gilkes has been the standout so far, piling up 108 runs from three appearances while scoring at a brisk 183 rate.
Sam Billings and Cameron Bancroft have chipped in with handy contributions to deepen the order. Bancroft, backed by extensive T20 exposure, is tipped to shoulder responsibility and can swing momentum quickly. David Warner and Sam Konstas add another option up front, capable of brief but damaging spells if timing clicks.
Further down, Shadab Khan has caught the eye and tops the internal run list with 75 runs from two knocks at 137.
In the bowling attack, Reece Topley owns three wickets across three outings, though his economy has climbed to 12 per over. Nathan McAndrew has shown better restraint, going at 9.70 while also claiming three scalps. Outside those two, Shadab Khan has exerted the biggest influence among the bowlers with six wickets, and confidence stays high around another neat spell here too.
ST Over/Under Betting Tips
Sam Billings Total Runs Over 20.5 1.83
Billings has been a mainstay in the Thunder's middle order, scoring 25 and 51 in his last two matches. These were impactful knocks where he attacked right from the start. Overall, he is striking at 183 this season with an average of 26.33. He also boasts a strong record at Manuka Oval, having scored 366 runs in 10 matches at an average of 40.67.
Sydney Thunder Predicted Playing XI:
Sam Konstas, Matthew Gilkes, David Warner(c), Cameron Bancroft, Sam Billings(w), Shadab Khan, Daniel Sams, Chris Green, Nathan McAndrew, Tanveer Sangha, Reece Topley
Sydney Thunder Key Players From Previous Game Of Big Bash League, 2025-2026
Sydney Thunder Actual Playing XI:
David Warner, Sam Konstas, Chris Green, Shadab Khan, Daniel Sams, Cameron Bancroft, Matthew Gilkes, Ryan Hadley, Tanveer Sangha, Sam Billings, Reece Topley
PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
Weather Conditions
The square boundaries at Manuka Oval are tight, which makes pulls and cuts profitable shots, and night T20 cricket here generally races along at a good tempo. The pitch usually maintains its hardness and plays true, delivering steady bounce without much surprise in how the ball comes through. The longer straight boundaries mean mistimed shots down the ground can be fielded, unlike square where anything cleanly struck will go for four. Bowlers need to vary their pace and bowl wider lines because swing or seam movement isn't readily available here.
Wind and cool temperatures will affect play in Canberra, but rain shouldn't interrupt proceedings.
MLS vs SYT Pitch Report
Totals around 170 are competitive at Manuka Oval, while chasing sides need intent without reckless hitting under lights.
Total Over/Under Betting Tips
Melbourne Stars to win the coin toss 1.90
We back the Melbourne Stars to win the coin toss in today's match against the Sydney Thunder at Manuka Oval in Canberra.
Toss: To Bowl
16 of the 26 domestic T20 games played at Manuka Oval have been won by the side chasing, showing that batting second is the way to go here.
MLS vs SYT
Winning Prediction
The unbeaten Melbourne Stars aim to maintain their recent form when they face Sydney Thunder next, a side that has struggled for consistency through the tournament. Thunder can draw some belief from winning all five of their most recent meetings with the Stars, though they'll have to raise their game considerably if they want to repeat that success here. This match should go down to the wire, but we're backing Stars narrowly with a 51-49 advantage based on their current form.
Melbourne Stars are our picks for the winners of this game.
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