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Pakistan vs Sri Lanka, PAK vs SL, Today Match Prediction
PAK vs SL Win Probability
Toss Winner - Sri Lanka won the toss and choose to bat first
Pakistan Won by 4 wickets
Will Pakistan be able to start the series with a win at home?
- Sahibzada Farhan has scored 394 runs in the last nine games with an average of 56.29 for Pakistan.
- The average 1st innings score at Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium is 164 runs.
- Dasun Shanaka has scored 215 runs with a strike rate of 170 in the last eight matches.
Pakistan to win
| Tournament: | Sri Lanka tour of Pakistan, 2026 |
| Format: | t20 |
| Venue: | Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium, Rawalpindi, Pakistan |
| Toss Prediction: | To Bowl |
| Weather: | 31.4°C|Overcast |
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PAK vs SL Match Prediction & Analysis
Pakistan is set to face Sri Lanka in the 1st T20 match of the Sri Lanka tour of Pakistan 2026 on October 9 at Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium.
Both teams have delivered decent performances recently, having successfully won medals at the recently concluded Asian Games 2026. However, after facing a defeat against a strong team like India, few concerns have risen which need to be fixed soon. Moreover, while Pakistan will look to capitalise on home conditions in this series, Sri Lanka will make every effort to pose a strong challenge.
Moreover, changes in both teams can be clearly seen with an eye on upcoming major ICC tournaments; consequently, several young players will be seen in action for both sides.
RECENT PERFORMANCE
PAK
L
W
W
L
W
PAK
SL
W
L
L
L
L
SL
HEAD TO HEAD
Last 8 Matches
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TEAMS PREVIEW
Pakistan Preview
Pakistan delivered a strong performance at the Asian Games 2026, successfully reaching the gold medal match. Although they lost to India and settled for silver, the team's overall showing was impressive; consequently, Sahibzada Farhan will once again take on the captaincy.
In the batting department, expectations will once again be high on Sahibzada Farhan, who scored 394 runs in the last 9 matches at an average of 56.29. Additionally, Saim Ayub could also perform well; he has scored 176 runs in 9 innings with a strike rate of 145.
In the bowling department, Abrar Ahmed will be a key threat at their home conditions for Sri Lanka, who took eight wickets in the last seven games. Moreover, Naseem Shah was also included in the squad as an excellent fast-bowling option. He took 32 wickets in his international T20 career.
Pakistan Predicted Playing XI:
Sahibzada Farhan ©, Fakhar Zaman, Khawaja Nafay, Hasan Nawaz, Saim Ayub, Abdul Samad, Shadab Khan, Arafat Minhas, Naseem Shah, Abrar Ahmed, Sufyan Moqim
Pakistan Actual Playing XI:
Sahibzada Farhan, Fakhar Zaman, Hasan Nawaz , Khawaja Nafay, Maaz Sadaqat, Mohammad Imran Randhawa, Saim Ayub, Shadab Khan, Abrar Ahmad, Naseem Shah, Razaullah
Sri Lanka Preview
Sri Lanka has also performed reasonably well, although they faced a defeat against India in the semi-finals of the recently held Asian Games 2026, knocking them out of the race for the gold medal. Still, they succeeded in securing the bronze medal by defeating Bangladesh. For now, Kusal Mendis will be seen to lead the Sri Lankan side.
In the batting department, Dasun Shanaka will be one of the key players to watch. He has scored 215 runs in the last 8 matches at an average of 30.71. Kamindu Mendis was another consistent performer, contributing 178 runs across the last 8 innings.
With the ball, Dushmantha Chameera will be expected to continue his impressive form as he has picked up 99 wickets in 82 matches. Maheesh Theekshana will be responsible for delivering a brilliant spin attack, having taken 84 wickets in 87 games in his T20 career.
Sri Lanka Predicted Playing XI:
Kusal Mendis ©, Kamil Mishara, Sineth Jayawardena, Sahan Arachchige, Kamindu Mendis, Dasun Shanaka, Maheesh Theekshana, Dushmantha Chameera, Eshan Malinga, Dunith Wellalage, Binura Fernando
Sri Lanka Actual Playing XI:
Sahan Arachchige, Kamindu Mendis, Dasun Shanaka, Dunith Wellalage, Kusal Mendis, Kamil Mishara, Lahiru Udara, Maheesh Theekshana, Dushmantha Chameera, Eshan Malinga, Nuwan Thushara
PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
Weather Conditions
Sunny conditions are expected at Rawalpindi cricket ground throughout the day, with temperatures likely to range between 31°C and 22°C.
PAK vs SL Pitch Report
Pitch Condition
BalancedBatting Conditions
High ScoringPace Bowling
Pace BounceSpin Bowling
Average Turn
Rawalpindi Cricket Ground is known for its betting-friendly pitch, offering excellent conditions for batters. The pitch provides good pace and bounce, making it easy for batsmen to score aggressively. However, the bowlers also get some bowling advantage after the first powerplay. The spinners will definitely make an impact on this pitch. The average first-innings score at this venue stands at around 164, indicating the potential batting surface.
Toss: To Bowl
The conditions at this venue generally favour bowling first, as chasing a total is easier here. Additionally, the chasing side has won 10 out of the 16 international T20 matches played at this venue. Therefore, the captain winning the toss is expected to choose to bowl first.
PAK vs SL
Winning Prediction
Pakistan will enter this contest as the slight favourites, mainly due to the advantage of playing at home and having a strong combination of experienced batters and wicket-taking bowlers. Their recent silver-medal finish at the Asian Games also provides them with confidence. Sri Lanka has enough quality in both departments to make this a competitive contest. However, Pakistan's home advantage and stronger overall performance make them favourites to win this match.
Pakistan to win
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