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Tasmania vs New South Wales, SSD, Today Match Prediction
TSC vs NSW Win Probability
Toss Winner - New South Wales won the toss and choose to bowl first
In-play
Can Tasmania deny NSW their first win?
- Tasmania are second on the points table with 9.76 points from two matches (1 Win, 1 Draw). New South Wales are fourth with 8.65 points (2 draws).
- Tasmania have dominated the recent head-to-head record. Before the two consecutive draws, they defeated NSW by an innings and 58 runs, 326 runs and 55 runs in three meetings.
- Oliver Davies (NSW) is the leading run-scorer in the Sheffield Shield this season, with 315 runs followed by Tasmania (Ben McDermott) with 253 runs.
We predict that Tasmania will defeat New South Wales.
| Tournament: | Sheffield Shield, 2026-2027 |
| Format: | test |
| Venue: | Bellerive Oval, Hobart, Australia |
| Toss Prediction: | To Bat |
| Weather: | 28.9°C|Sunny |
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TSC vs NSW Betting Odds
| Bookie | TasmaniaTSC | New South WalesNSW |
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TSC vs NSW Match Prediction & Analysis
Tasmania will host New South Wales in the 8th match of the Sheffield Shield 2026–27 at Bellerive Oval, Hobart, from October 30 to November 2, 2026. The match begins at 5:00 AM IST. The teams have already met once this season, with their opening-round encounter ending in a draw despite NSW dominating much of the contest.
Tasmania subsequently secured a thrilling four-run victory over Victoria, while NSW recorded another draw against Western Australia after coming within one wicket of victory. Tasmania are second with 9.76 points, having one win and one draw, while NSW sit fourth with 8.65 points from two draws. NSW have nevertheless accumulated a competition-leading 4.75 batting bonus points, highlighting how strongly they have performed despite remaining winless.
Tasmania will look to consolidate their position near the top, while NSW need to start converting commanding positions into outright victories. Can Tasmania maintain their unbeaten start, or will NSW finally turn dominance into their first win of the season?
RECENT PERFORMANCE
TSC
L
W
L
W
W
TSC
137/10 in 25.2 5.41
MODC 2026-27
Victoria beat Tasmania by 138 runs (D/L) method304/7 in 50.0 6.08
158/10 in 26.0 6.08
203/10 in 29.1 6.96
115/10 in 30.2 3.79
MODC 2026-27
Tasmania beat Western Australia by 9 wickets
117/1 in 16.2 7.16
NSW
W
L
W
W
W
NSW
293/9 in 46.3 6.3
MODC 2026-27
New South Wales beat Western Australia by 78 runs371/8 in 50.0 7.42
158/10 in 26.0 6.08
203/10 in 29.1 6.96
212/10 in 44.5 4.73
MODC 2026-27
New South Wales beat Victoria by 47 runs257/10 in 48.5 5.26
364/10 in 49.5 7.3
MODC 2026-27
New South Wales beat Queensland by 4 wickets359/6 in 49.0 7.33
HEAD TO HEAD
Last 10 Matches
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TEAMS PREVIEW
Tasmania Preview
Tasmania have made an impressive unbeaten start to the Sheffield Shield 2026–27 season, collecting 9.76 points from two matches to sit second on the table. They opened their campaign with a hard-earned draw against New South Wales in Sydney before securing their first victory with a dramatic four-run win over Victoria in Hobart.
Tasmania’s victory over Victoria was remarkable after they slipped to 45/7 in the first innings. Ben McDermott produced a superb 128 and Jake Doran added 73 to lift them to 241 before Tasmania dismissed Victoria for 207. They then made 236, with Nikhil Chaudhary scoring 81, setting Victoria 271 to win. The visitors reached 266 before Gabe Bell’s 6/72 completed a thrilling four-run victory.
Ben McDermott leads Tasmania’s batting this season with 253 runs from four innings at an average of 63.25, including his match-winning 128 against Victoria. Jake Doran has scored 204 runs at an average of 68.00, including two half-centuries. With the ball, Marcus Bean has taken 10 wickets at 20.50, while Gabe Bell has collected nine wickets at 26.44, highlighted by his six-wicket haul in the previous match.
Tasmania have already shown two important qualities this season: the resilience to save a difficult match against NSW and the ability to win a tight contest against Victoria. With McDermott and Doran providing stability and Bean and Bell delivering wickets, Tasmania possess the balance to turn another competitive position into an outright victory at home.
Key Players: Ben McDermott, Jake Doran, Marcus Bean, Gabe Bell.
Tasmania Predicted Playing XI:
Jordan Silk (c), Caleb Jewell, Teague Wyllie, Nivethan Radhakrishnan, Ben McDermott, Jake Doran (wk), Nikhil Chaudhary, Mitchell Owen, Riley Meredith, Gabe Bell, Marcus Bean.
Tasmania Key Players From Previous Game Of Sheffield Shield, 2026-2027
Tasmania Actual Playing XI:
Jordan Silk, Jake Doran, Caleb Jewell, Tim Ward, Nivethan Radhakrishnan, Gabe T Bell, Jackson Bird, Riley Meredith, Teague Wyllie, Bradley Hope, Mitchell Owen
New South Wales Preview
New South Wales have been highly competitive without converting their dominance into victories in the Sheffield Shield 2026–27. The Blues have drawn both of their opening matches and sit fourth with 8.65 points. Their batting has been particularly productive, earning a competition-leading 4.75 batting bonus points, but they are still searching for their first outright win.
NSW dominated large portions of their previous match against Western Australia at the WACA. They declared their first innings at 440/6, led by Kurtis Patterson’s 122 and Sam Konstas’ 71, before dismissing WA for 339. Konstas then struck an unbeaten 151 from 167 balls as NSW declared at 262/5 and set WA 364. The Blues reduced WA to 205/9, but could not take the final wicket as Joel Curtis and the injured Joel Paris survived the remaining 28.1 overs to secure a draw. Ben Dwarshuis took 4/50 in the second innings, while Jack Edwards finished with two wickets.
Oliver Davies leads NSW with 315 runs at 105.00, while Sam Konstas has scored 222 runs at 222.00, including an unbeaten 151 against WA. With the ball, Sean Abbott has eight wickets at 20.00, while Jack Edwards has claimed seven wickets at 20.85, including 4/42 against Western Australia.
NSW have arguably played better cricket than their winless record suggests, building commanding positions in both matches without finishing the job. Their batting is already producing substantial totals; the challenge in Hobart is turning sustained pressure into 20 wickets. If the attack can find that finishing edge, the Blues have the personnel to convert another dominant performance into their first victory.
Key Players: Oliver Davies, Sam Konstas, Sean Abbott, Jack Edwards.
New South Wales Predicted Playing XI:
Oliver Davies, Sam Konstas, Kurtis Patterson, Jack Edwards, Lachlan Shaw (c), Ben Dwarshuis, Jake Scott, Ryan Hicks (wk), Sean Abbott, Tanveer Sangha, Liam Hatcher.
New South Wales Key Players From Previous Game Of Sheffield Shield, 2026-2027
New South Wales Actual Playing XI:
Ryan Hicks, Nic Maddinson, Kurtis Patterson, Ben Dwarshuis, Liam Hatcher, Bryce Jackson, Sean Abbott, Oliver Davies, Sam Konstas, Lachlan Shaw, Jake Scott
PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
Weather Conditions
The weather at Bellerive Oval, Hobart on October 30, 2026 is expected to be sunny to partly cloudy and pleasant. The temperature will range between a high of around 21°C and a low of 11°C. Overall, conditions should remain dry and favourable for the opening day of Tasmania versus New South Wales.
TSC vs NSW Pitch Report
Pitch Condition
BattingBatting Conditions
High ScoringPace Bowling
Pace BounceSpin Bowling
Average Turn
The venue of the match is Bellerive Oval, Hobart, also known as Blundstone Arena. The surface can offer seamers assistance early before gradually flattening out, creating a more even contest between bat and ball as the match develops. Historically, Hobart has also been one of Australia’s more bowler-friendly Sheffield Shield venues. A first-innings score of around 300–330 runs should be competitive.
Toss: To Bat
Bellerive Oval has historically offered assistance to bowlers early, but batting first has produced the stronger long-format record. In 14 Tests at the venue, teams batting first have won nine matches compared with three wins for teams bowling first. The team winning the toss should bat first here.
TSC vs NSW
Winning Prediction
Tasmania enter the contest with the advantage after collecting 9.76 points from two matches, including a thrilling four-run victory over Victoria. NSW remain winless with two draws but have 8.65 points and have repeatedly established dominant positions, driven by their powerful batting lineup. Tasmania’s home advantage and stronger ability to close out matches give them a narrow edge.
We predict that Tasmania will defeat New South Wales.
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