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Tasmania vs New South Wales, SSD, Today Match Prediction
TSC vs NSW Win Probability
Toss Winner - Tasmania won the toss and choose to bat first
Match Drawn
Can Tasmania’s home advantage prove decisive against new NSW?
- Tasmania sit 3rd on the table with 3 wins from 7 matches (26.73 points), while New South Wales are 5th with 2 wins (24.57 points).
- Tasmania have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning 4 of the last 5 matches, including two innings victories.
- Kurtis Patterson (NSW) is the third highest run-scorer this season with 485 runs at an average of 40.41.
We predict that Tasmania will defeat New South Wales.
| Tournament: | Sheffield Shield, 2025-26 |
| Format: | test |
| Venue: | Bellerive Oval, Hobart, Australia |
| Toss Prediction: | To Bat |
| Weather: | 26.6°C|Clear |
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TSC vs NSW Match Prediction & Analysis
Tasmania will face New South Wales in the 23rd match of the Sheffield Shield 2025/26, scheduled from February 16–19, 2026, at Bellerive Oval. The day-night four-day contest will begin at 9:00 AM IST, with both teams aiming to strengthen their position as the tournament enters a crucial phase.
Tasmania currently sit slightly higher on the table with 3 wins from 7 matches, showing better balance across departments. They also enjoy a strong recent head-to-head record against New South Wales, having won four of the last five meetings, including dominant innings victories. New South Wales, placed just below Tasmania, have managed 2 wins from 7 games and have struggled to build momentum despite flashes of individual brilliance. With Tasmania’s home advantage and NSW desperate to revive their campaign, this clash promises a fascinating battle.
RECENT PERFORMANCE
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HEAD TO HEAD
Last 8 Matches
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TEAMS PREVIEW
Tasmania Preview
Tasmania have had a mixed but competitive season in the 2025/26 Sheffield Shield, sitting third on the table with 3 wins, 3 losses, and a draw from seven matches (26.73 points). Tasmania have registered solid victories against Western Australia (by 22 runs) and New South Wales (by an innings and 58 runs), while defeats to Victoria (144 runs) and South Australia have exposed some middle-order inconsistency. Overall, they remain firmly in the finals race, especially strong at home conditions.
Tasmania produced a gritty all-round performance to defeat Western Australia by 22 runs in their previous outing. Batting first, Tasmania posted competitive totals in both innings, led by Jordan Silk (55) and Jake Weatherald (44) in the first dig, followed by a decisive second-innings contribution from Jake Doran (74) and Beau Webster (55). With the ball, Gabe Bell was outstanding, claiming a match-winning 6/82 in the final innings after earlier support from Cameron Gannon and Jhy Richardson.
With the bat, Jordan Silk (481 runs) and Jake Doran (475 runs) have been Tasmania’s most consistent run-scorers this season, both averaging close to 40, while Tim Ward (475 runs) has provided solidity at the top. In the bowling department, Gabe Bell (28 wickets) has been exceptional, ranking among the leading wicket-takers of the tournament, with strong support from Jackson Bird (18 wickets) and Nathan McAndrew. Tasmania should feel confident with in form squad and a good win the previous game against Western Australia.
Key Players: Jake Doran, Jordan Silk, Gabe Bell, Beau Webster
Tasmania Predicted Playing XI:
Tim Ward, Jake Weatherald, Jordan Silk, Jake Doran, Beau Webster, Charlie Wakim, Peter Handscomb (wk), Nathan McAndrew, Gabe Bell, Jackson Bird, Cameron Gannon
Tasmania Key Players From Previous Game Of Sheffield Shield, 2025-26
Tasmania Actual Playing XI:
Caleb Jewell, Charlie Wakim, Jake Weatherald, Tim Ward, Aidan O'Connor, Beau Webster, Jake Doran, Gabe T Bell, Jackson Bird, Riley Meredith, Mitchell Owen, Nikhil Chaudhary
New South Wales Preview
New South Wales head into the latter stages of the Sheffield Shield 2025/26 season placed fifth on the points table, with 2 wins, 3 losses, and 2 draws from seven matches, collecting 24.57 points. NSW registered emphatic victories such as the 341-run win over Queensland and a solid 74-run win against Western Australia, but have also suffered big defeats, including a 300-run loss to Victoria and an innings defeat to Tasmania, highlighting inconsistency.
In their previous outing, New South Wales settled for a hard-fought draw against South Australia at the SCG after posting commanding totals. NSW batted first and compiled 202, with Sam Konstas (44) and Josh Philippe (33) providing a steady start before South Australia replied with 197, led by Jason Sangha’s 59. In the second innings, NSW dominated, declaring at 440/8, powered by a monumental 173 from Kurtis Patterson and a valuable 61 from Jack Edwards. Despite a late collapse threat, NSW’s bowlers kept pressure on as South Australia closed on 118/2, ensuring a draw.
This season, with the bat, Kurtis Patterson has been NSW’s standout, scoring 485 runs at an average of 40.41, including a match-defining 173. Sam Konstas has added solidity at the top with 464 runs, while Jack Edwards has contributed crucial middle-order runs and all-round value. In bowling, Liam Hatcher has led the attack with 26 wickets at an excellent average of 18.88, supported by Chris Stobo (14 wickets), who has been economical and incisive in key spells.
Key Players: Kurtis Patterson, Sam Konstas, Liam Hatcher, Jack Edwards
New South Wales Predicted Playing XI:
Sam Konstas, Josh Philippe, Kurtis Patterson (c), Jack Edwards, Moises Henriques, Matthew Gilkes (wk), Chris Stobo, Liam Hatcher, Sean Abbott, Jackson Bird, Nathan McAndrew
New South Wales Key Players From Previous Game Of Sheffield Shield, 2025-26
New South Wales Actual Playing XI:
Kurtis Patterson, Sam Konstas, Joel Davies, Josh Philippe, Charlie Anderson, Charlie Stobo, Liam Hatcher, Ryan Hadley, William Salzmann , Jack Edwards, Tanveer Sangha, Lachlan Shaw
PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
Weather Conditions
The weather on the match day at Bellerive Oval, Hobart is expected to be partly cloudy. The temperature will range between a high of around 21 °C and a low of 12 °C. There is a slight chance of light showers, but no major rain interruptions are expected. Overall, conditions look favorable for uninterrupted play across the day.
TSC vs NSW Pitch Report
Pitch Condition
BattingBatting Conditions
High ScoringPace Bowling
Pace BounceSpin Bowling
Average Turn
The venue of the match is Bellerive Oval, Hobart. The pitch here traditionally offers good batting conditions. Average score batting first at this venue in 14 Tests is around 350 runs.
Toss: To Bat
Toss trends at Bellerive Oval clearly favour batting first. Out of 14 total matches, teams batting first have won 9 games, while only 3 matches have been won by sides bowling first. The team winning the toss should bat first here.
TSC vs NSW
Winning Prediction
Tasmania come into this match with better recent form and a stronger standing in the competition compared to New South Wales. New South Wales possess quality players but have struggled to convert starts into match-winning performances. With home advantage, familiarity with conditions, and greater momentum, Tasmania appear to have the upper hand heading into this contest.
We predict that Tasmania will defeat New South Wales.
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