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Brisbane Heat vs Melbourne Stars, BBLT20, Today Match Prediction
BH vs MLS Win Probability
Toss Winner - Brisbane Heat won the toss and choose to bowl first
Brisbane Heat won by 4 wkts
Melbourne Stars have won four in a row – the only unbeaten side in BBL 15 currently.
- The average first innings score at Brisbane Cricket Ground is 167.
- Brisbane Heat’s fates will depend on Max Bryant, Matthew Renshaw, and Jack Wildermuth to deliver game-changing moments.
- For Melbourne Stars, the game-changing players can be are Sam Harper, Haris Rauf, and Marcus Stoinis.
Melbourne Stars are our picks for the winners of this game.
| Tournament: | Big Bash League, 2025-2026 |
| Format: | t20 |
| Venue: | The Gabba (Brisbane Cricket Ground), Woolloongabba, Australia |
| Toss Prediction: | To Bowl |
| Weather: | 26.0°C|Partly cloudy |
BH vs MLS Live Prediction
BH vs MLS Match Prediction & Analysis
Brisbane Heat meet Melbourne Stars in the 20th match of the 2025-26 Big Bash League at the Gabba. The Heat have struggled to find any rhythm, collecting just four points from five outings, and they need to string some wins together soon. The Stars, by contrast, have been excellent, claiming top spot after winning four games in a row. That impressive run makes the Stars the favorites heading into this clash.
BH vs MLS Betting News
Melbourne Stars BBL Record at Brisbane Cricket Ground
Melbourne Stars hasn't had a great time at Brisbane Cricket Ground (The Gabba), where they won just 4 matches and lost 6, scoring 164 runs per match.
Brisbane Heat BBL Records at Brisbane Cricket Ground
Brisbane Heat has had a mixed bag of results in the BBL matches played at the Brisbane Cricket Ground, where they won 31 and lost 34 of the 67 matches played.
RECENT PERFORMANCE
BH
L
W
L
W
L
BH
125/3 in 14.1 8.82
121/10 in 19.4 6.15
258/2 in 19.5 13.01
257/6 in 20.0 12.85
MLS
W
W
W
W
L
MLS
132/1 in 14.0 9.43
128/10 in 20.0 6.4
144/10 in 20.0 7.2
145/3 in 17.3 8.29
155/8 in 20.0 7.75
161/4 in 18.1 8.86
159/2 in 16.0 9.94
158/9 in 20.0 7.9
135/7 in 19.0 7.11
114/10 in 18.0 6.33
HEAD TO HEAD
Last 5 Matches
Show More Show Less
188/4 in 20.0
BBL T20 2022
Brisbane Heat won by 4 runs
184/3 in 20.0
159/7 in 20.0
BBL T20 2022
Brisbane Heat won by 3 wkts
160/7 in 20.0
TEAMS PREVIEW
Brisbane Heat Preview
The season has moved along unevenly for Brisbane Heat, as two wins and three defeats combine to leave them sitting fifth on the ladder. With half the competition completed, the task ahead is clear: secure at least three more victories from the remaining matches to keep playoff ambitions alive.
A large share of the scoring has flowed through Matt Renshaw, who has gathered 202 runs in five games at an average of 41, striking at 165 to ensure runs arrive at a brisk pace.
Max Bryant has provided dependable support around him, contributing 131 runs across five appearances and striking at 151 to maintain momentum through the early stages.
Colin Munro, with 91 runs from five games, and Jack Wildermuth, adding 130 from the same number, have filled roles across the top and middle order with steady returns. Further down, Hugh Weibgen deserves a mention after scoring 87 runs in five matches at a strike rate of 118.
Looking at the bowling numbers, Wildermuth leads the way with eight wickets from four matches at an economy of 9.63. Bartlett and Kuhnemann have combined for 11 wickets, while the rest of the unit has struggled to find a steady rhythm, resulting in fluctuating results overall.
BH Over/Under Betting Tips
Matt Renshaw Total Runs Over 21.5 1.85
Following a good run of 102, 43, and 33, Renshaw missed out in his last match against the Strikers, scoring only 6. He has totaled 202 runs in five games this season, averaging 40.4. His record at The Gabba stands at 589 runs in 25 matches (avg. 26.77), and he averages 22 against the Stars with 66 runs in four games. He is a safe prop bet against the Stars and we back him to come good in this fixture and score over 21 runs.
Brisbane Heat Predicted Playing XI:
Colin Munro, Jack Wildermuth, Lachlan Hearne, Matt Renshaw, Max Bryant, Hugh Weibgen, Jimmy Peirson(w), Xavier Bartlett, Matthew Kuhnemann, Nathan McSweeney(c), Ollie Patterson
Brisbane Heat Key Players From Previous Game Of Big Bash League, 2025-2026
Brisbane Heat Actual Playing XI:
Max Bryant, Colin Munro, Matt Renshaw, Nathan McSweeney, Ollie Patterson, Hugh Weibgen, Jack Wildermuth, Jimmy Peirson, Xavier Bartlett, Matthew Kuhnemann, Tom Balkin
Melbourne Stars Preview
Melbourne Stars have started brilliantly, collecting four straight wins from their opening matches to grab first place early. The task now is sustaining that momentum across the weeks ahead and staying firmly inside the top two.
At the head of the lineup, Sam Harper has shown he is capable of regular 30-plus returns around the 130 strike rate range. Harper has already surged ahead as the team’s leading run getter this season, piling up 194 runs from four games while working at a strike rate of 158.
The Stars face a setback as English opener Joe Clarke is sidelined for up to four games due to a hip issue. His spot in the lineup could go to either Sam Hain or Blake Macdonald.
The middle stretch is directed by Glenn Maxwell, Marcus Stoinis, and Campbell Kellaway, with Tom Curran plus Hilton Cartwright adding depth. Among them, Stoinis and Kellaway appear best placed to deliver 20-30 run influence in this contest tonight.
Fast bowling responsibility goes to Haris Rauf and seasoned campaigner Peter Siddle, who have shared a massive 17 wickets so far. Mitch Swepson provides spin control, aiming to restrict runs and create openings, while Curran and Stoinis, who have combined for 16 wickets so far, add neat spells that often dismiss set batters during pressure-filled moments across the innings.
MS Over/Under Betting Tips
Sam Harper Total Runs Over 19.5 1.85
Sam Harper is in phenomenal touch this season, racking up 194 runs in four innings with scores of 29, 110, 55, and 6. He averages 29.67 at The Gabba and 22.33 against the Brisbane Heat (13 matches). Riding this wave of form, we are backing Harper to score over 19 runs in today's match.
Melbourne Stars Predicted Playing XI:
Sam Hain/Blake Macdonald, Sam Harper(w), Campbell Kellaway, Thomas Fraser Rogers, Marcus Stoinis(c), Glenn Maxwell, Hilton Cartwright, Tom Curran, Mitchell Swepson, Haris Rauf, Peter Siddle
Melbourne Stars Key Players From Previous Game Of Big Bash League, 2025-2026
Melbourne Stars Actual Playing XI:
Thomas Fraser Rogers, Hilton Cartwright, Campbell Kellaway, Glenn Maxwell, Marcus Stoinis, Tom Curran, Sam Harper, Haris Rauf, Peter Siddle, Mitchell Swepson, Blake Macdonald
PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
Weather Conditions
Early on, under lights at Brisbane Cricket Ground, batters face a tough test as the surface generates bounce and carry that makes timing boundaries difficult at first, while pace bowlers get plenty of lift off the track. Once teams navigate that stretch, runs tend to flow more freely. Spinners rarely influence outcomes at this ground.
The weather forecast suggests heavy cloud cover on game day, with rain and drizzle expected in the morning before scattered showers move through during the afternoon.
BH vs MLS Pitch Report
Pitch Condition
BalancedBatting Conditions
Moderate ScoringPace Bowling
Pace BounceSpin Bowling
Minimal Turn
Domestic T20 matches at Brisbane Cricket Ground often see scores in the mid-160s. For this game, a total between 175 and 180 should push the team batting second.
Total Over/Under Betting Tips
Brisbane Heat to win the coin toss 1.90
We back the home team Brisbane Heat to win the coin toss in today's match against the Melbourne Stars at The Gabba.
Toss: To Bowl
Six of the last seven BBL games played at the Brisbane Cricket Ground have been won by the chasing side, indicating a pattern that might tempt the toss-winning captain to field first here.
BH vs MLS
Winning Prediction
Melbourne Stars will look to keep their winning run going when they take on Brisbane Heat next, a team that has found consistency hard to come by this tournament. The Heat can take some confidence from winning four of their last five clashes against the Stars, but they'll need a much better performance if they're going to pull off a similar result this time around. If the Heat's batters don't produce something special, we expect the Stars to come away with the victory based on their form at the moment.
Melbourne Stars are our picks for the winners of this game.
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