400% up to ₹70,000 on 4 Deposits with Reg Code: TOPBK
Melbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades, BBLT20, Today Match Prediction
MLS vs MLR Win Probability
Toss Winner - Melbourne Renegades won the toss and choose to bowl first
Melbourne Renegades beat Melbourne Stars by 4 wickets 🏆
Melbourne Stars have won both their previous contests against Melbourne Renegades.
- A score of around 165-170 will be competitive at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
- Tim Seifert, Oliver Peake, and Jake Fraser-McGurk must perform if Melbourne Renegades hope to win this clash.
- For Melbourne Stars, the game-changing players can be are Sam Harper, Haris Rauf, and Marcus Stoinis.
Melbourne Stars are our picks for the winners of this game.
| Tournament: | Big Bash League, 2025-2026 |
| Format: | t20 |
| Venue: | Melbourne Cricket Ground, Richmond, Australia |
| Toss Prediction: | To Bowl |
| Weather: | 20.1°C|Sunny |
MLS vs MLR Live Prediction
MLS vs MLR Match Prediction & Analysis
Melbourne Stars take on Melbourne Renegades in the 22nd fixture of the 2025-26 Big Bash League at the MCG. The Stars have been brilliant, moving to first position following four victories from five games. The Renegades, however, have failed to build any momentum, managing only two points from four matches and occupying seventh spot. The way both teams are playing right now makes the Stars clear favorites for this encounter.
MLS vs MLR Betting News
Melbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades, 22nd T20 Match, BBL 2025-26 Special Bets
Bet on the Melbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades, 22nd T20 Match, BBL 2025-26, with our special bet offers. Expert analysis for the Melbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades, betting today.
RECENT PERFORMANCE
MLS
L
W
W
W
W
MLS
132/1 in 14.0 9.43
128/10 in 20.0 6.4
144/10 in 20.0 7.2
145/3 in 17.3 8.29
155/8 in 20.0 7.75
161/4 in 18.1 8.86
159/2 in 16.0 9.94
158/9 in 20.0 7.9
MLR
L
L
L
W
W
MLR
145/9 in 20.0 7.25
149/3 in 13.5 10.77
199/7 in 18.0 11.06
196/4 in 20.0 9.8
HEAD TO HEAD
Last 6 Matches
Show More Show Less
162/7 in 20.0
BBL T20 2022
156/7 in 20.0
108/9 in 20.0
BBL T20 2022
Melbourne Renegades won by 33 runs
141/7 in 20.0
TEAMS PREVIEW
Melbourne Stars Preview
Melbourne Stars have burst out of the gate, claiming four victories from their first five outings to seize early control of the ladder. Their unbeaten run ended last time out, and the focus now turns to an immediate response to keep a place inside the top two firmly in sight.
Opening duties fall to Thomas Fraser Rogers and Sam Harper, a pairing capable of steady 30-plus contributions around the 130 strike rate mark. Harper has already moved clear as the side’s top run scorer this season, stacking up 231 runs across five matches while striking at 158.
The engine room is shaped by Glenn Maxwell, Marcus Stoinis, and Campbell Kellaway, with Tom Curran and Hilton Cartwright strengthening the depth. From that mix, Stoinis and Kellaway look well placed to inject 20-30 run momentum into tonight’s contest.
Pace duties rest on Haris Rauf and experienced campaigner Peter Siddle, who have split an imposing 20 wickets between them so far. Mitch Swepson handles the spin role, working to curb scoring and force errors, while Curran and Stoinis, combining for 17 wickets, deliver tidy spells that often remove settled batters during tense phases of the innings.
MS Over/Under Betting Tips
Sam Harper Total Runs Over 18.5 1.85
Sam Harper is in prolific form this season scoring 37, 29, 110, 55 runs in the last four matches. He has scored a total of 231 runs in 5 matches, averaging 115.5. At MCG, he has scored 214 runs in 16 matches, given his current form, we back Harper to score over 18 runs in today's match.
Melbourne Stars Predicted Playing XI:
Thomas Fraser Rogers, Sam Harper(w), Campbell Kellaway, Blake Macdonald, Marcus Stoinis(c), Glenn Maxwell, Hilton Cartwright, Tom Curran, Mitchell Swepson, Haris Rauf, Peter Siddle
Melbourne Stars Key Players From Previous Game Of Big Bash League, 2025-2026
Melbourne Stars Actual Playing XI:
Thomas Fraser Rogers, Hilton Cartwright, Campbell Kellaway, Glenn Maxwell, Marcus Stoinis, Tom Curran, Sam Harper, Haris Rauf, Peter Siddle, Mitchell Swepson, Blake Macdonald
Melbourne Renegades Preview
Melbourne Renegades are feeling the heat after a sluggish beginning, with one win and three defeats pushing them to a spot just above the bottom of the ladder. The margin for error has narrowed fast, and a dramatic shift is required if finals cricket is to stay within reach.
Tim Seifert has carried most of the scoring burden at the top, blasting 170 runs from four innings at a strike rate of 175.25. A fast start from him can tilt games early and place the Renegades on the front foot. Oliver Peake has also made his presence felt, collecting 113 runs across four appearances while moving along at 145.
Josh Brown and Jake Fraser-McGurk have flashed promise in short bursts, each crossing the 70-run mark this campaign, though a larger contribution is expected here against the Stars.
Jason Behrendorff leads the pace options with four wickets from four matches while giving away 9.61 per over. Gurinder Sandhu and Will Sutherland share 10 wickets between them, though others have struggled to sustain pressure for long stretches against opposing batting lineups.
MR Over/Under Betting Tips
Tim Siefert Total Runs Over 21.5 1.85
Tim Seifert has recorded scores of 8, 26, 34, and 102 in the four matches he has played this season. He is in fine touch, having amassed 170 runs at an impressive average of 42.5. In his two previous outings against the Stars, he has scored 43 runs at an average of 21.5. Expect another impactful knock from Seifert in today’s Melbourne Derby; we’re backing him to score over 21 runs.
Josh Brown Total Runs Over 18.5 1.85
After a poor start to the season—where he was dismissed for a duck twice in the first three matches—Josh Brown has bounced back well with scores of 43 and 26 in his last two outings. He is an explosive batter who scores at a rapid pace and can clear an 18-run prop in a jiffy. While it remains a 50-50 bet, we are backing him to come good and score over 18 runs in today’s match against the Stars.
Melbourne Renegades Predicted Playing XI:
Josh Brown, Tim Seifert, Mohammad Rizwan(w), Jake Fraser-McGurk, Oliver Peake, Callum Stow/Matthew Spoors, Hassan Khan, Will Sutherland(c), Andrew Tye, Gurinder Sandhu, Jason Behrendorff
Melbourne Renegades Key Players From Previous Game Of Big Bash League, 2025-2026
Melbourne Renegades Actual Playing XI:
Josh Brown, Jake Fraser McGurk, Hassan Khan, Ollie Peake, Will Sutherland, Mohammad Rizwan, Tim Seifert, Jason Behrendorff, Gurinder Sandhu, Callum Stow, Matthew Spoors
PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
Weather Conditions
Batters face a tough ask during the first few overs at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, with the hard pitch and sheer size of the playing area requiring smart planning through the innings, and the lengthy square boundaries mean clearing the fence is more difficult than at tighter venues. Teams tend to bowl more defensively through the middle section as they attempt to build pressure. Spin doesn't tend to be a match-winner here but can produce a dismissal or two.
Conditions in Melbourne will be hot and humid, but there's no threat of rain.
MLS vs MLR Pitch Report
Pitch Condition
BalancedBatting Conditions
Moderate ScoringPace Bowling
SwingSpin Bowling
Minimal Turn
The average first innings in T20s at the Melbourne Cricket Ground hovers around the mid-150s to 160s. For this fixture, a score of around 170 will challenge the chasing side.
Total Over/Under Betting Tips
Melbourne Stars to win the coin toss 1.90
We back the Melbourne Stars to win the coin toss in today's Melbourne derby at MCG against the Melbourne Renegades.
Toss: To Bowl
Chasing totals has worked out well in past T20s at the MCG, including the first game of BBL 15, so expect the toss-winning captain to bowl first here.
MLS vs MLR
Winning Prediction
Melbourne Stars will aim to maintain momentum against Melbourne Renegades, who have failed to string together any sort of consistency in this tournament. The Stars suffered a defeat in their last fixture, but can lean on their broader campaign form and the two wins they already have over the Renegades this year. Barring a major turnaround from the Renegades' batting unit, we're tipping the Stars to get the job done, considering how they've been going over the past few weeks.
Melbourne Stars are our picks for the winners of this game.
1xBet
400% up to ₹70,000 on 4 Deposits with Reg Code: TOPBK